Extra Space Storage Inc. · EXR · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Extra Space Storage: Positive Same-Store Momentum, Guidance Maintained

The supplied analysis supports a measured constructive view: positive same-store revenue momentum, strong occupancy, external growth and pricing technology provide support, while maintained guidance, expense growth and regulatory constraints limit the strength of the outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $28.17B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.36 Consensus $1.17
EPS surprise +16.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $857.5M Consensus $854.6M
Revenue surprise +0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.6% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +3.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -14.7% Up to 20 sessions
EXRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Same-store revenue turned positive in Q4 2025 and management continued external expansion, including acquisitions, joint ventures, bridge loans and third-party managed stores. The outlook remained maintained rather than becoming more optimistic, with regulatory and cost pressures still identified.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2026 guidance, assuming flat-to-modest same-store revenue growth and 2%–3.5% expense growth.

Key takeaways

  • Core FFO grew 1.1% year over year, while same-store revenue turned positive in Q4 2025.
  • External growth continued through acquisitions, joint ventures, bridge loans and third-party managed stores.
  • Management is using pricing algorithms, AI/ML and selective discounting while navigating regulatory and cost pressures.

Management priorities

  • Continue joint-venture-based acquisitions and manage bridge-loan balances.
  • Expand AI/ML capabilities in pricing, marketing and customer service.
  • Invest in the store-manager model and use selective discounting.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $721M Q4 '23 actual $798M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $717M Q1 '24 actual $800M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $742M Q2 '24 actual $811M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $754M Q3 '24 actual $825M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $732M Q2 '25 actual $842M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $733M Q3 '25 actual $778M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $855M Q4 '25 actual $857M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $855M Q1 '26 actual $856M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $875M Q2 '26 actual $874M, match Q3 '26 estimate $889M Q4 '26 estimate $887M Q1 '27 estimate $899M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold27 ratings
Bullish1244.4%
Neutral1555.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$131.68Current
$74Low
$160.21Average
$237High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 21, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 21, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 1, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeAug 27, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $131.68. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$146$137.42 +10.9%Sep 21, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesRavi Vaidya$152$140.12 +15.4%Sep 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$157$141.1 +19.2%Sep 1, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$170$144.09 +29.1%Aug 27, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$160$146.25 +21.5%Aug 24, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Extra Space Storage Inc., a prominent, self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT), is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah, and holds a distinguished place as a member of the S&P 500 index. As of September 30, 2020, its expansive portfolio encompassed 1,906 self-storage facilities, with operations spanning 40 U.S. states, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico. Collectively, these facilities offer roughly 1.4 million individual storage units, totaling approximately 147.5 million square feet of rentable area. Extra Space Storage caters to diverse customer needs by providing a wide array of secure and conveniently located storage solutions nationwide. This includes specialized options for vehicles like boats and RVs, as well as dedicated business storage. Notably, it holds the position of the second-largest owner and operator of self-storage facilities throughout the U.S., and stands as the nation's largest self-storage management company.

Historical context

All EXR earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-28T23:40:58.112488+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-28T23:40:58.109730+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.