Expedia Group, Inc. · EXPE · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Expedia: Strong Q3, raised outlook, and AI-led growth priorities

The quarter supports a constructive operating case for Expedia: demand, B2B, advertising, and AI-enabled product initiatives were accompanied by raised guidance and margin expansion. The key test is whether growth and efficiency gains remain durable as competition, macro uncertainty, and tougher comparisons increase.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $30.34B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.57 Consensus $6.97
EPS surprise +8.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.41B Consensus $4.28B
Revenue surprise +3.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +17.5% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +17.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.4% Up to 20 sessions
EXPESPY benchmark

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What changed

Expedia reported stronger Q3 operating performance than its prior outlook, with bookings and revenue growth accelerating, margin expanding, and B2B and advertising contributing meaningfully. Management also raised full-year guidance and made AI partnerships and product integration more prominent in its growth plan.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance and described Q4 growth of 6–8% with further margin expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 bookings grew 12% and revenue grew 9%, with EBITDA margin expanding by more than two points.
  • B2B bookings grew 26%, led by Rapid API and new partner tools.
  • Advertising revenue grew 16%, while AI partnerships and product features became central to the growth strategy.
  • Management raised full-year guidance and cited continued cost discipline, growth investment, and share repurchases.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI-powered search, personalization, trip planning, and property recommendations
  • Deepen collaborations with OpenAI, Google, and Perplexity
  • Grow B2B partnerships, Rapid API, advertising, and premium travel
  • Extend loyalty capabilities and integrate data across brands
  • Fund growth while continuing cost-out initiatives

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXPE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $-0.14 Q1 '24 actual $0.21, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.06 Q2 '24 actual $3.51, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6.04 Q3 '24 actual $6.13, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.97 Q2 '25 actual $4.24, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.97 Q3 '25 actual $7.57, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.35 Q4 '25 actual $3.78, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.41 Q1 '26 actual $1.96, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.22 Q2 '26 actual $5.76, beat Q3 '26 estimate $8.83 Q4 '26 estimate $4.37 Q1 '27 estimate $2.31
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold75 ratings
Bullish3546.7%
Neutral3850.7%
Bearish22.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$265Current
$116Low
$242.74Average
$430High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 30, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 24, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 20, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 12, 2026
Show 70 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $265. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$288$266.33 +8.7%Sep 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$235$293.08 -11.3%Sep 16, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$400$339.12 +50.9%Aug 25, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$430$331.15 +62.3%Aug 24, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$417$325.47 +57.4%Aug 20, 2026
See 130 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as a leading online travel company, serving customers both within the United States and across international markets. The enterprise structures its extensive operations into three primary divisions: Retail, Business-to-Business (B2B), and Trivago. Its comprehensive brand portfolio caters to diverse travel needs. Key retail brands include Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel platform offering localized websites; Hotels.com, specializing in the marketing and distribution of lodging accommodations; and Vrbo, an online marketplace dedicated to alternative accommodation options. Other prominent travel booking websites under its umbrella are Orbitz, Travelocity, and CheapTickets. For the EMEA region, ebookers functions as an online travel agent, presenting travelers with a broad spectrum of choices, while Hotwire provides various travel booking services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T22:30:43.292286+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T22:30:43.289463+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.