Expedia Group, Inc. · EXPE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Expedia raises outlook as AI and B2B growth support Q2 momentum

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient U.S. demand, AI-enabled product improvements, B2B expansion, and acquisitions are supporting growth, while execution, competition, FX, and AI-related costs remain important tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $32.18B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.76 Consensus $5.22
EPS surprise +10.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.32B Consensus $4.17B
Revenue surprise +3.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.1% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.1% Up to 20 sessions
EXPESPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's outlook moved from maintained to raised: full-year bookings and revenue guidance increased, the EBITDA-margin outlook improved, and Expedia added Layla, CarTrawler, and Tiqets to its product and B2B expansion plans.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance to 8–9% bookings growth and 9–10% revenue growth, with a higher EBITDA-margin outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 bookings rose 12% and revenue rose 14%, with adjusted EBITDA up 23%, according to the supplied transcript analysis.
  • Management said full-year bookings and revenue guidance increased, while margin expansion continued.
  • AI search, conversational experiences, and new AI-native channels are being used to improve conversion and capture traveler intent.
  • B2B growth and planned acquisitions are intended to broaden Expedia's one-stop travel offering.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Layla into Expedia's core travel experience.
  • Complete and integrate CarTrawler while expanding the B2B one-stop travel shop, including Tiqets.
  • Expand natural-language search, agentic voice, and other AI product features while managing token costs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXPE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $-0.14 Q1 '24 actual $0.21, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.06 Q2 '24 actual $3.51, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6.04 Q3 '24 actual $6.13, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.97 Q2 '25 actual $4.24, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.97 Q3 '25 actual $7.57, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.35 Q4 '25 actual $3.78, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.41 Q1 '26 actual $1.96, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.22 Q2 '26 actual $5.76, beat Q3 '26 estimate $8.80 Q4 '26 estimate $4.37 Q1 '27 estimate $2.48
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold75 ratings
Bullish3546.7%
Neutral3850.7%
Bearish22.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$281.02Previous close
$116Low
$240.75Average
$430High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 24, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 20, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 12, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 70 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $281.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$235$293.08 -16.4%Sep 16, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$400$339.12 +42.3%Aug 25, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$430$331.15 +53.0%Aug 24, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$417$325.47 +48.4%Aug 20, 2026
UBSLloyd Walmsley$351$321.07 +24.9%Aug 12, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as a leading online travel company, serving customers both within the United States and across international markets. The enterprise structures its extensive operations into three primary divisions: Retail, Business-to-Business (B2B), and Trivago. Its comprehensive brand portfolio caters to diverse travel needs. Key retail brands include Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel platform offering localized websites; Hotels.com, specializing in the marketing and distribution of lodging accommodations; and Vrbo, an online marketplace dedicated to alternative accommodation options. Other prominent travel booking websites under its umbrella are Orbitz, Travelocity, and CheapTickets. For the EMEA region, ebookers functions as an online travel agent, presenting travelers with a broad spectrum of choices, while Hotwire provides various travel booking services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-07T14:13:06.224938+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T09:30:51.802436+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T09:30:51.799689+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.