Exelon Corporation · EXC · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Exelon maintains outlook as load pipeline expands

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: resilient demand from data centers and other large loads, alongside regulated grid investment, can support growth if Exelon executes its capital plan and converts its pipeline. That case remains dependent on regulatory outcomes, financing, affordability, and project execution.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $43.02B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.72
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $6.30B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.6% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.0% Up to 20 sessions
EXCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis says full-year guidance was maintained rather than raised. Management added detail on Maryland legislation, battery-storage procurement, the new-load pipeline, and progress toward financing the capital plan, while continuing to emphasize data-center demand and regulatory execution.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management kept full-year earnings guidance unchanged while highlighting load growth, regulatory progress, and capital-plan execution.

Key takeaways

  • Management described first-quarter earnings as ahead of expectations and said the company remains on track for full-year guidance.
  • The growth case centers on data-center and other large-load demand, transmission and distribution investment, and battery-storage initiatives.
  • The principal offsetting issues are regulatory timing, affordability pressures, weather and commodity volatility, and financing risk.

Management priorities

  • Execute the multiyear capital plan, including transmission and distribution upgrades.
  • Advance the new-load pipeline through phased studies and customer engagements.
  • Continue regulatory and legislative advocacy while supporting reliability and customer affordability.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $6B Q1 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $5B Q2 '24 actual $5B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6B Q3 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5B Q2 '25 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $7B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $5B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '26 actual $7B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $6B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7B Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $7B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold36 ratings
Bullish1336.1%
Neutral2158.3%
Bearish25.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$41.76Current
$39Low
$48.17Average
$63High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainMay 15, 2026
Keybanc Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 13, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $41.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchMarie Ferguson$49$41.98 +17.3%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$50$42.1 +19.7%Sep 18, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$48$45.51 +14.9%Aug 13, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$49$45.6 +17.3%May 29, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$41$44.98 -1.8%May 13, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Exelon Corporation, a utility holding company established in 1999 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, operates across the United States and Canada. The company primarily focuses on the generation, delivery, and marketing of energy. It maintains a diverse portfolio of power production facilities, utilizing nuclear, fossil fuel, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar technologies. Exelon engages in the sale of electricity to both wholesale and retail clients, while also providing natural gas, renewable energy solutions, and various other energy-related products and services.…

Historical context

All EXC earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-17T00:02:52.217204+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T21:20:43.744899+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T21:20:43.742190+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.