Equity Residential · EQR · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Equity Residential raises operating outlook as Sunbelt risks persist

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: near-full occupancy, limited urban supply, and higher same-store revenue and NOI guidance support operating resilience, while the lower acquisition target, Sunbelt concessions, regulatory uncertainty, and project delays temper the outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $23.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.99 Consensus $0.99
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $768.8M Consensus $780.7M
Revenue surprise -1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.2% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.0% Up to 20 sessions
EQRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows raised same-store revenue and NOI guidance, a lower 2025 acquisition target, modestly lower capex guidance, and more detail on AI leasing, delinquency tools, and bulk WiFi. Urban core performance remained stronger than conditions in some Sunbelt markets.

Guidance delta

Management raised same-store revenue and NOI guidance, while reducing the 2025 acquisition target from $1.5 billion to $1 billion and modestly lowering capex guidance because of project timing delays.

Key takeaways

  • Occupancy remained near full at 96.6%, with a 5.2% renewal rate.
  • Urban core markets outperformed, while Sunbelt markets faced supply and concession pressure.
  • AI leasing and delinquency tools, bulk WiFi, and technology adoption remained central to efficiency plans.
  • The acquisition target was reduced even as same-store revenue and NOI guidance increased.

Management priorities

  • Complete deployment of AI leasing and delinquency platforms by year-end.
  • Focus acquisitions of up to $1 billion on Atlanta, Dallas, Denver, and other suburban submarkets.
  • Advance development projects in suburban Boston, Seattle, and San Francisco through joint ventures and balance-sheet funding.
  • Continue bulk WiFi, renovation, and ADU programs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EQR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.33 Q1 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.96 Q2 '24 actual $0.97, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.98 Q3 '24 actual $0.98, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.99 Q2 '25 actual $0.99, match Q3 '25 estimate $1.02 Q3 '25 actual $1.02, match Q4 '25 estimate $1.04 Q4 '25 actual $1.03, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.28 Q1 '26 actual $0.24, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.44 Q2 '26 actual $0.30, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.38 Q4 '26 estimate $0.39 Q1 '27 estimate $0.34 Q2 '27 estimate $0.38
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish1226.7%
Neutral3271.1%
Bearish12.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$63.66Previous close
$63Low
$76.89Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Aug 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainJul 23, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 21, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 14, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 9, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJun 16, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $63.66. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$75$68.8 +17.8%Jul 21, 2026
Deutsche BankPeter Abramowitz$72$68.8 +13.1%Jul 20, 2026
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$70$68.35 +10.0%Jul 9, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$72$66.18 +13.1%Jun 16, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$70$67.86 +10.0%Jun 10, 2026
See 58 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Equity Residential is committed to cultivating vibrant living environments where residents can flourish. This S&P 500 firm specializes in the acquisition, development, and ongoing management of rental properties, strategically located within or near thriving metropolitan areas that attract desirable, long-term tenants. The company's substantial portfolio includes ownership or investment in 305 properties, comprising a total of 78,568 apartment units, situated in key markets such as Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Seattle, San Francisco, Southern California, and Denver.

Historical context

All EQR earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T23:56:10.977439+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T23:56:10.974517+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.