Equity Residential · EQR · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025
Equity Residential raises operating outlook as Sunbelt risks persist
The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: near-full occupancy, limited urban supply, and higher same-store revenue and NOI guidance support operating resilience, while the lower acquisition target, Sunbelt concessions, regulatory uncertainty, and project delays temper the outlook.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows raised same-store revenue and NOI guidance, a lower 2025 acquisition target, modestly lower capex guidance, and more detail on AI leasing, delinquency tools, and bulk WiFi. Urban core performance remained stronger than conditions in some Sunbelt markets.
Guidance delta
Management raised same-store revenue and NOI guidance, while reducing the 2025 acquisition target from $1.5 billion to $1 billion and modestly lowering capex guidance because of project timing delays.
Key takeaways
- Occupancy remained near full at 96.6%, with a 5.2% renewal rate.
- Urban core markets outperformed, while Sunbelt markets faced supply and concession pressure.
- AI leasing and delinquency tools, bulk WiFi, and technology adoption remained central to efficiency plans.
- The acquisition target was reduced even as same-store revenue and NOI guidance increased.
Management priorities
- Complete deployment of AI leasing and delinquency platforms by year-end.
- Focus acquisitions of up to $1 billion on Atlanta, Dallas, Denver, and other suburban submarkets.
- Advance development projects in suburban Boston, Seattle, and San Francisco through joint ventures and balance-sheet funding.
- Continue bulk WiFi, renovation, and ADU programs.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Aug 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 10, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 14, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 4, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Mar 26, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 9, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Mar 18, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 15, 2023 |
| BTIG | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 11, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 9, 2023 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Nov 17, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 19, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 18, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Perform | Peer Perform | Maintain | Jun 15, 2021 |
| CFRA | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 6, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 2, 2020 |
| Baird | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Mar 17, 2020 |
| Zelman | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Jan 31, 2020 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 30, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 26, 2018 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 8, 2018 |
| Edward Jones | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 16, 2018 |
| Janney Montgomery Scott | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 10, 2017 |
| Janney Capital | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 10, 2017 |
| BTIG Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 25, 2016 |
| BB&T Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 24, 2016 |
| JMP Securities | Market Perform | Market Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 19, 2016 |
| Miller Tabak | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Nov 9, 2015 |
| Sandler O'Neill | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 27, 2015 |
| Capital One Financial | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 2, 2014 |
| BWS Financial | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 23, 2014 |
| Imperial Capital | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Aug 1, 2013 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Sep 11, 2012 |
| Compass Point | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 30, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $63.66. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $68.8 | +17.8% | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Peter Abramowitz | $72 | $68.8 | +13.1% | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $70 | $68.35 | +10.0% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Lewis | $72 | $66.18 | +13.1% | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $67.86 | +10.0% | Jun 10, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $67.34 | +10.0% | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $72 | $66.26 | +13.1% | May 29, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $79 | $66.13 | +24.1% | May 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $73 | $65.8 | +14.7% | May 14, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $66 | $65.17 | +3.7% | May 4, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $76 | $62.26 | +19.4% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Marie Ferguson | $70 | $60.16 | +10.0% | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $64 | $64.33 | +0.5% | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $78.5 | $61.77 | +23.3% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $78 | $62.12 | +22.5% | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $63 | $62.04 | -1.0% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $78 | $59.64 | +22.5% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $62.87 | +6.8% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $71 | $61.94 | +11.5% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $77 | $60.55 | +21.0% | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $60.55 | +2.1% | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $59.44 | +6.8% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $79.75 | $61.46 | +25.3% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $71 | $61.65 | +11.5% | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $64.73 | -45.0% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $64.12 | +25.7% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $72 | $66.44 | +13.1% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Lewis | $75 | $65.18 | +17.8% | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $77 | $63.54 | +21.0% | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Adam Kramer | $75 | $62.89 | +17.8% | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $80.5 | $63.41 | +26.5% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $82.25 | $70.62 | +29.2% | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $79 | $68.19 | +24.1% | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $81.5 | $71.35 | +28.0% | Nov 13, 2024 |
| CFRA | Kenneth Leon | $81 | $70.37 | +27.2% | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Jeffrey Spector | $82 | $77.44 | +28.8% | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $81 | $78.08 | +27.2% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Omotayo Okusanya | $83 | $75.1 | +30.4% | Sep 10, 2024 |
| CFRA | Kenneth Leon | $85 | $75.48 | +33.5% | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Julien Blouin | $81 | $75.66 | +27.2% | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $74 | $73.44 | +16.2% | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | James Feldman | $77 | $73.63 | +21.0% | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $73 | $71.41 | +14.7% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $85 | $69.57 | +33.5% | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $80 | $68.31 | +25.7% | Jun 28, 2024 |
| CFRA | Kenneth Leon | $77 | $65.22 | +21.0% | Jun 6, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $72 | $66.95 | +13.1% | May 14, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $70 | $65.45 | +10.0% | Apr 29, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Brad Heffern | $69 | $64.61 | +8.4% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $70 | $64.61 | +10.0% | Apr 24, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | John Kim | $70 | $62.54 | +10.0% | Apr 22, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | John Kim | $64 | $63.36 | +0.5% | Jun 5, 2023 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $61 | $62.76 | -4.2% | Dec 16, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Jacob Kilstein | $72 | $61.78 | +13.1% | Nov 17, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $94 | $91.35 | +47.7% | Feb 2, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | John Kim | $99 | $87.48 | +55.5% | Feb 1, 2022 |
| BTIG | James Sullivan | $104 | $88.59 | +63.4% | Jan 19, 2022 |
| Barclays | Anthony Powell | $97 | $89.61 | +52.4% | Jan 18, 2022 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $90 | $86.92 | +41.4% | Dec 16, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Nicholas Joseph | $93 | $86.76 | +46.1% | Dec 13, 2021 |
| Wells Fargo | Tammi Fique | $86 | $84.05 | +35.1% | Nov 22, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Chandni Luthra | $86 | $80.71 | +35.1% | Sep 23, 2021 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $88 | $82.7 | +38.2% | Jul 29, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationEquity Residential is committed to cultivating vibrant living environments where residents can flourish. This S&P 500 firm specializes in the acquisition, development, and ongoing management of rental properties, strategically located within or near thriving metropolitan areas that attract desirable, long-term tenants. The company's substantial portfolio includes ownership or investment in 305 properties, comprising a total of 78,568 apartment units, situated in key markets such as Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Seattle, San Francisco, Southern California, and Denver.
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T23:56:10.977439+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T23:56:10.974517+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.