Elevance Health Inc. · ELV · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Elevance reaffirms outlook as Carelon and membership growth offset cost pressure

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of Elevance's operating trajectory: Carelon expansion, membership growth, and value-based care initiatives support earnings durability, while utilization, Medicaid rate alignment, and Medicare policy changes could limit that support.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $91.54B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $10.97
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $46.21B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.3% Event window
SPY move +2.6% Same window
Abnormal move -0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.8% Up to 20 sessions
ELVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the analysis adds Q1 growth in revenue, adjusted EPS, membership, and Carelon services; highlights HealthOS, value-based oncology, and integration of CareBridge; and keeps FY2025 adjusted EPS guidance maintained.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed FY2025 adjusted EPS guidance of $34.15-$34.85; no change was identified.

Key takeaways

  • Management described Q1 revenue growth of more than 15% and adjusted EPS growth of more than 10%, meeting guidance.
  • Carelon services grew more than 60% year over year and expanded external contracts.
  • The outlook remained supported by Medicare Advantage retention, ACA enrollment, and value-based care initiatives.
  • Elevated utilization, Medicaid rate uncertainty, and Part D changes remain important offsets.

Management priorities

  • Expand Carelon services and external payer contracts.
  • Scale HealthOS, patient advocacy, and value-based oncology care.
  • Integrate CareBridge and other recent acquisitions.
  • Continue disciplined capital allocation and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ELV REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $42B Q4 '23 actual $43B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $42B Q1 '24 actual $43B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $43B Q2 '24 actual $44B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $48B Q2 '25 actual $49B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $49B Q3 '25 actual $50B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $50B Q4 '25 actual $49B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $48B Q1 '26 actual $49B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $49B Q2 '26 actual $50B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $49B Q4 '26 estimate $48B Q1 '27 estimate $50B Q2 '27 estimate $51B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy38 ratings
Bullish2771.1%
Neutral1128.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$422.09Previous close
$320Low
$470.13Average
$625High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Leerink Partners Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 33 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $422.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimJason Cassorla$460$412.7 +9.0%Oct 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$469$400.09 +11.1%Oct 7, 2026
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$395$369.28 -6.4%Jul 17, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$488$372.85 +15.6%Jul 16, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$482$377.63 +14.2%Jul 16, 2026
See 96 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating as a major health benefits organization, Elevance Health Inc. commits to guiding consumers, families, and communities across their entire health and wellness path. It facilitates access to vital care, assistance, and tools designed to enable healthier living for approximately 118 million individuals. The company's comprehensive offerings span medical, digital, pharmaceutical, behavioral health, clinical, and other care solutions. Founded in 1944 and based in Indianapolis, Indiana, this entity adopted its current name, Elevance Health Inc., in June 2022, having previously operated as Anthem, Inc.

Historical context

All ELV earnings

Healthcare peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
COO The Cooper Companies, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +2.7% -14.7% CooperCompanies beats expectations as inventory reduction weighs on vision revenue
MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-08T00:00:45.761361+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T05:00:43.102889+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T05:00:43.100162+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.