Equifax Inc. · EFX · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Equifax: AI and cloud investments support growth, while mortgage risks remain

Equifax's supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: AI-enabled products, cloud completion, government programs and mortgage share gains are growth supports, while FICO economics, mortgage conditions and VantageScore adoption could constrain execution.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $16.12B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.09 Consensus $2.06
EPS surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.55B Consensus $1.53B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.4% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +14.3% Up to 20 sessions
EFXSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about EFX FY2025 Q4

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied analysis highlighted a 15% new-product vitality index, roughly $900 million of incremental product revenue, record twin-data additions, and new SNAP continuous-evaluation capabilities. It also identified a $30 million settlement charge and continued uncertainty around mortgage-model changes.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained; 2026 outlook called for about 7% organic growth excluding FICO.

Key takeaways

  • Equifax highlighted AI and cloud initiatives, including Twin Indicator and Ignite AI Advisor.
  • Mortgage revenue faces a zero-margin FICO pass-through; management discussed roughly 7% organic growth excluding FICO.
  • Government growth opportunities include OB3-related demand and SNAP continuous evaluation.
  • Management cited strong 2025 cash generation and plans for $1.5 billion of 2026 buybacks and dividends.

Management priorities

  • Complete the cloud migration by mid-2026.
  • Roll out Ignite AI Advisor globally and expand Twin Indicator.
  • Pursue government opportunities tied to OB3 and SNAP.
  • Continue bolt-on acquisitions and shareholder returns.

Follow EFX with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EFX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish2466.7%
Neutral1130.5%
Bearish12.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$139.62Current
$160Low
$243.37Average
$331High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 22, 2026
Rothschild & Co Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 21, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $139.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$160$140.83 +14.6%Sep 30, 2026
Goldman SachsGeorge Tong$171$145.78 +22.5%Sep 29, 2026
Wells FargoJason Haas$200$158.62 +43.2%Sep 22, 2026
BNP ParibasAndrew Grobler$245$177.05 +75.5%Sep 8, 2026
Redburn PartnersSimon Clinch$235$192.41 +68.3%Aug 21, 2026
See 86 more

Track every rating change on EFX the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Equifax Inc. operates as a global data and analytics company, delivering a range of information solutions and specialized human resources administrative process outsourcing services. Its clientele spans across businesses, governmental organizations, and individual consumers. The company's operations are structured into three primary divisions: Workforce Solutions, U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International. The Workforce Solutions segment specializes in employment-related data, offering verification services for income, employment history, criminal records, and Social Security numbers. It also provides tools for payroll-based transactions, employment tax management, and products aimed at protecting against identity theft. The U.S. Information Solutions (USIS) segment provides a comprehensive suite of services for both consumers and businesses within the United States.…

Historical context

All EFX earnings

Industrials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the EFX recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T17:56:06.689881+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T17:56:06.686989+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.