Equifax Inc. · EFX · FY2024 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2024

Equifax beats Q1 guidance while mortgage demand remains mixed

Equifax's Q1 analysis supports a constructive but qualified operating picture: the company exceeded the top end of guidance, maintained FY2024 guidance, and cited AI, cloud migration, government contracts, and verification services as growth drivers. The evidence is tempered by mortgage-market sensitivity, employer-services headwinds, weaker third-party bureau sales, and hiring-related volume pressure.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $18.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.50 Consensus $1.44
EPS surprise +4.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.39B Consensus $1.40B
Revenue surprise -0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -8.5% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -8.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +14.9% Up to 20 sessions
EFXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied analysis describes Q1 revenue of $1.389 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.50, with both above the high end of guidance. Mortgage performance benefited from pricing pass-through and the new pre-qualification solution; non-mortgage growth was driven by government and verification services. AI model-building and cloud migration progressed, while the main concerns remained ERC and WOTC effects, third-party bureau weakness, and soft talent-solution volumes.

Guidance delta

Maintained. The supplied analysis says FY2024 guidance was unchanged, with expectations for more than 10% total revenue growth and margin improvement.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis says Q1 revenue and EPS beat the top end of guidance.
  • Mortgage revenue outperformed despite a soft market, supported by pricing pass-through and the new pre-qualification solution.
  • Non-mortgage revenue grew 9% constant-currency, driven by government contracts and verification services.
  • AI model-building exceeded the stated target, with 85% of new models built using AI in Q1.
  • Cloud migration reached 70% of revenue, with a 90% year-end goal in the supplied analysis.

Management priorities

  • Complete cloud migration toward 90% of revenue by year-end.
  • Launch more than 25 new products emphasizing AI and machine-learning scores.
  • Expand government activity, including CMS and SNAP contracts.
  • Integrate the BVS acquisition and roll out Ignite and Interconnect platforms.
  • Add records through payroll-processor partnerships.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EFX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish2363.9%
Neutral1233.3%
Bearish12.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$161.25Current
$148Low
$240.66Average
$331High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 16, 2026
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 16, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 2, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $161.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$177$160.86 +9.8%Oct 16, 2026
Goldman SachsGeorge Tong$148$139.73 -8.2%Oct 2, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$155$139.73 -3.9%Oct 2, 2026
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$160$140.83 -0.8%Sep 30, 2026
Goldman SachsGeorge Tong$171$145.78 +6.0%Sep 29, 2026
See 89 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Equifax Inc. operates as a global data and analytics company, delivering a range of information solutions and specialized human resources administrative process outsourcing services. Its clientele spans across businesses, governmental organizations, and individual consumers. The company's operations are structured into three primary divisions: Workforce Solutions, U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International. The Workforce Solutions segment specializes in employment-related data, offering verification services for income, employment history, criminal records, and Social Security numbers. It also provides tools for payroll-based transactions, employment tax management, and products aimed at protecting against identity theft. The U.S. Information Solutions (USIS) segment provides a comprehensive suite of services for both consumers and businesses within the United States.…

Historical context

All EFX earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T20:50:42.460191+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T20:50:42.457151+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.