Equifax Inc. · EFX · FY2023 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2024

Equifax maintains 2024 outlook as cloud and non-mortgage growth advance

The call supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient non-mortgage demand, cloud migration, cost actions, and new products support growth, while mortgage weakness and execution risks remain material.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $20.98B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.81 Consensus $1.74
EPS surprise +4.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.33B Consensus $1.41B
Revenue surprise -5.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.2% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.1% Up to 20 sessions
EFXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shows guidance maintained rather than lowered, stronger quantified non-mortgage growth, continued cloud progress, and a more explicit focus on AI-enabled products and lower capital intensity.

Guidance delta

2024 guidance was maintained, including about 9% total revenue growth and $7.35 adjusted EPS.

Key takeaways

  • Non-mortgage revenue grew 14% constant currency, led by Workforce Solutions and International.
  • Cloud migration, cost actions, and product activity support the margin-expansion case.
  • Mortgage remains the key near-term headwind, although management expects conditions to bottom.

Management priorities

  • Complete the North American cloud migration.
  • Deploy AI-enabled models and new products.
  • Expand government contracts, payroll partnerships, and twin-record coverage.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EFX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.74 Q4 '23 actual $1.81, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.44 Q1 '24 actual $1.50, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.76 Q2 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.84 Q3 '24 actual $1.85, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.93 Q2 '25 actual $2.00, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.94 Q3 '25 actual $2.04, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.06 Q4 '25 actual $2.09, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.69 Q1 '26 actual $1.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.20 Q2 '26 actual $2.25, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.20 Q3 '26 actual $2.26, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.13 Q1 '27 estimate $1.94 Q2 '27 estimate $2.42 Q3 '27 estimate $2.57
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish2261.1%
Neutral1336.1%
Bearish12.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$177.57Current
$148Low
$234.05Average
$331High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 26, 2026
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeOct 22, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 21, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $177.58. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$189$182.36 +6.4%Oct 26, 2026
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$200$175.57 +12.6%Oct 22, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$175$175.44 -1.5%Oct 21, 2026
Deutsche BankFaiza Alwy$201$175.12 +13.2%Oct 21, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$210$176.54 +18.3%Oct 21, 2026
See 97 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Equifax Inc. operates as a global data and analytics company, delivering a range of information solutions and specialized human resources administrative process outsourcing services. Its clientele spans across businesses, governmental organizations, and individual consumers. The company's operations are structured into three primary divisions: Workforce Solutions, U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International. The Workforce Solutions segment specializes in employment-related data, offering verification services for income, employment history, criminal records, and Social Security numbers. It also provides tools for payroll-based transactions, employment tax management, and products aimed at protecting against identity theft. The U.S. Information Solutions (USIS) segment provides a comprehensive suite of services for both consumers and businesses within the United States.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T02:50:40.421030+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T02:50:40.418290+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.