eBay Inc. · EBAY · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

eBay raises outlook as Depop, AI and eBay Live support growth

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: eBay’s Q2 growth, raised outlook and expanding C2C, AI and live-commerce initiatives strengthen the growth case, while Depop integration, competition and macro softness remain material execution risks.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $48.09B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.60 Consensus $1.50
EPS surprise +6.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.13B Consensus $3.01B
Revenue surprise +3.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.9% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.9% Up to 20 sessions
EBAYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the analysis shows a raised guidance stance, completed Depop acquisition, stronger emphasis on eBay Live and expanded AI deployment, alongside newly highlighted integration and lapping risks.

Guidance delta

Management raised the full-year outlook, with FY GMV growth expected at 11.5%–12.5% on an FX-neutral basis.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 GMV and revenue each grew 14% year over year, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Depop closed, adding a younger fashion audience and expanding eBay’s C2C strategy.
  • Management highlighted eBay Live, AI tools, Vehicles and shipping as ongoing growth vectors.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI capabilities across search, pricing guidance and seller tools.
  • Scale eBay Live and broaden self-service onboarding across markets.
  • Integrate Depop while expanding shipping and Authenticity Guarantee coverage.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EBAY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.20 Q1 '24 actual $1.25, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.13 Q2 '24 actual $1.18, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.18 Q3 '24 actual $1.19, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.30 Q2 '25 actual $1.37, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.33 Q3 '25 actual $1.36, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.35 Q4 '25 actual $1.41, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.58 Q1 '26 actual $1.66, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.50 Q2 '26 actual $1.60, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.41 Q4 '26 estimate $1.51 Q1 '27 estimate $1.66
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold67 ratings
Bullish3247.8%
Neutral3349.2%
Bearish23.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$107.97Current
$36Low
$90.89Average
$145High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
StoneX Buy BuyMaintainSep 14, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 20, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 11, 2026
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeAug 7, 2026
Show 62 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $107.97. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
WedbushYgal Arounian$137$104.51 +26.9%Aug 20, 2026
UBSStephen Ju$120$106.51 +11.1%Aug 11, 2026
Argus ResearchJoseph Bonner$133$114.13 +23.2%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$127$107.23 +17.6%Aug 6, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$126$110.52 +16.7%Aug 6, 2026
See 114 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

eBay Inc. manages an extensive global e-commerce ecosystem designed to facilitate transactions between buyers and sellers. This framework primarily encompasses its flagship website, ebay.com, alongside its suite of dedicated mobile applications. Through these digital platforms, users are empowered to list, discover, purchase, and pay for a vast array of goods. These transactions occur across a multitude of channels—online, mobile, and even certain traditional avenues—involving a diverse array of participants. This includes individual sellers, small businesses, and larger entities such as retailers, distributors, liquidators, import/export firms, and auctioneers, often integrating with various commerce platforms, search engines, and shopping networks. The company was established in 1995 and its corporate headquarters are situated in San Jose, California.

Historical context

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Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T16:19:25.059073+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T14:20:53.130881+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T14:20:53.127985+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.