DaVita Inc. · DVA · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

DaVita Maintains 2025 Outlook Amid Volume and Supply Constraints

DaVita's growth case rests on reimbursement changes, home dialysis, Integrated Kidney Care, and Latin American expansion, but the evidence is balanced by modest volume growth, supply constraints, and uncertainty around the size and timing of those benefits.

Reported After market closeNYSEHealthcare $11.95B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.14
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.27B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -11.1% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -11.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 8.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.2% Up to 20 sessions
DVASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds a $30 million 2025 operating-income headwind from peritoneal-dialysis supply constraints, while emphasizing oral phosphate-binder reimbursement, home dialysis, connected cyclers, Integrated Kidney Care, and Latin American acquisitions as the main areas to monitor.

Guidance delta

Guidance was maintained. The supplied analysis says 2025 targets 5.2% operating-income growth and 11% EPS growth, with a $30 million operating-income headwind from peritoneal-dialysis supply constraints.

Key takeaways

  • 2024 adjusted operating income reached $1.98 billion at the lower end of guidance, while EPS reached $9.68.
  • Volume growth was modest and below expectations amid supply-chain and hurricane impacts.
  • Management highlighted home dialysis, oral phosphate-binder reimbursement, Integrated Kidney Care, and Latin American expansion as growth areas.

Management priorities

  • Scale home dialysis and connected-cycler coverage.
  • Integrate oral phosphate binders into the dialysis benefit and advance value-based Integrated Kidney Care.
  • Complete the remaining Latin American acquisition and maintain disciplined capital spending and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DVA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.59 Q4 '23 actual $1.62, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.95 Q1 '24 actual $2.26, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.54 Q2 '24 actual $2.50, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.72 Q3 '24 actual $2.59, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.70 Q2 '25 actual $2.95, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.17 Q3 '25 actual $2.51, miss Q4 '25 estimate $3.24 Q4 '25 actual $3.40, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.41 Q1 '26 actual $2.87, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.88 Q2 '26 actual $4.02, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.57 Q4 '26 estimate $4.25 Q1 '27 estimate $3.26
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold22 ratings
Bullish1045.5%
Neutral1150.0%
Bearish14.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$187.31Current
$81Low
$191.58Average
$270High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeAug 7, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 5, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeMay 6, 2026
Show 17 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $187.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$215$179.92 +14.8%Aug 7, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$220$180.67 +17.5%Aug 7, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$220$180.67 +17.5%Aug 7, 2026
Deutsche BankPito Chickering$265$185.52 +41.5%Aug 5, 2026
BarclaysAndrew Mok$224$227.99 +19.6%Aug 5, 2026
See 19 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DaVita Inc. specializes in delivering essential kidney dialysis treatments and comprehensive renal care to individuals grappling with chronic kidney failure. The company primarily operates an extensive network of outpatient dialysis centers, supplementing this with services provided in hospital inpatient settings and within patients' homes. Beyond direct patient treatment, DaVita manages its own diagnostic laboratories, performing routine tests vital for dialysis patients, alongside other physician-ordered laboratory analyses specifically for those with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). The firm also offers administrative and management support to various other outpatient dialysis facilities.…

Historical context

All DVA earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-12T14:21:16.591116+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T10:40:42.640284+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T10:40:42.637642+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.