Duke Energy Corporation · DUK · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Duke Energy Reaffirms Guidance Despite Hurricane Headwinds

Duke Energy's long-term investment and demand outlook remains supported by regulatory approvals, grid modernization and economic-development load, but near-term earnings and credit metrics are exposed to storm costs and execution risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $97.04B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.62 Consensus $1.70
EPS surprise -4.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.15B Consensus $8.06B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.2% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.9% Up to 20 sessions
DUKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added material hurricane-related costs and lost revenue, while management disclosed roughly 2 GW of new data-center load agreements. The company maintained guidance but expects performance toward the lower half of the range.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed 2024 guidance, with results expected toward the lower half of the range because of hurricane impacts.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 adjusted EPS was $1.62, and management reaffirmed 2024 guidance while pointing to the lower half of the range.
  • Three consecutive hurricanes created material costs and lost revenue, but recovery mechanisms are in place.
  • Management highlighted regulatory approvals, grid-hardening investment, and roughly 2 GW of signed data-center load agreements.

Management priorities

  • Grid hardening and infrastructure investment.
  • Regulatory implementation across the Carolinas, Florida, and Indiana.
  • Data-center and other large industrial load agreements.
  • Evaluation of SMR nuclear technology and approvals.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DUK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.38 Q1 '24 actual $1.44, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.02 Q2 '24 actual $1.18, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.70 Q3 '24 actual $1.62, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.18 Q2 '25 actual $1.25, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.76 Q3 '25 actual $1.81, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.49 Q4 '25 actual $1.50, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.87 Q1 '26 actual $1.93, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.30 Q2 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.86 Q4 '26 estimate $1.56 Q1 '27 estimate $1.98
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1445.2%
Neutral1754.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$124.44Previous close
$93Low
$127.48Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 21, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 13, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 18, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeMar 5, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMar 4, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 17, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeOct 3, 2025
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeSep 26, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 25, 2025
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2025
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMar 5, 2025
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 29, 2024
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 29, 2024
Seaport Global Neutral SellUpgradeMar 17, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 12, 2022
Vertical Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 6, 2021
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeJun 25, 2021
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 9, 2019
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeMay 5, 2018
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 26, 2016
Scotia Howard Weil Perform Sector PerformMaintainNov 17, 2015
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainNov 6, 2015
Bernstein Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJun 1, 2015
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeDec 9, 2014
CRT Capital Buy BuyMaintainNov 3, 2014
ISI Group Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 4, 2013
Bank oferica Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 11, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $124.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$123$120.67 -1.2%Oct 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$128$121.3 +2.9%Oct 21, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$128$117.69 +2.9%Oct 13, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$130$116.65 +4.5%Oct 12, 2026
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$121$116.65 -2.8%Oct 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$124$116.84 -0.4%Oct 9, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$127$117.32 +2.1%Sep 18, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$135$123.92 +8.5%Aug 17, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$136$124.27 +9.3%Aug 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$132$124.27 +6.1%Aug 5, 2026
KeyBancSophie Karp$139$127.95 +11.7%Jul 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$138$127.28 +10.9%Jul 22, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$134$125.01 +7.7%Jul 20, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$135$123.73 +8.5%Jun 18, 2026
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$134$123.73 +7.7%Jun 18, 2026
BTIGAlex Kania$139$119.89 +11.7%Jun 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$132$124.45 +6.1%May 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$137$120.95 +10.1%May 18, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$140$124.65 +12.5%May 11, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$139$127.58 +11.7%May 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$141$126.73 +13.3%Apr 21, 2026
Wells FargoShahriar Pourreza$136$127.87 +9.3%Apr 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$142$127.87 +14.1%Apr 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$139$126.1 +11.7%Feb 20, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$136$123.64 +9.3%Feb 11, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$130$123.64 +4.5%Feb 10, 2026
BTIGAlex Kania$141$120.89 +13.3%Jan 30, 2026
RBC CapitalStephen D'Ambrisi$140$116.85 +12.5%Jan 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$130$118.94 +4.5%Jan 21, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$115$119.22 -7.6%Jan 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$127$118.68 +2.1%Jan 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$126$115.59 +1.3%Dec 17, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$126$116.19 +1.3%Dec 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$133$122.54 +6.9%Nov 20, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$126$127.49 +1.3%Oct 27, 2025
RBC CapitalStephen D'Ambrisi$143$127.49 +14.9%Oct 27, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$140$126.82 +12.5%Oct 27, 2025
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$136$129.53 +9.3%Oct 22, 2025
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$150$128.33 +20.5%Oct 21, 2025
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$135$126.09 +8.5%Oct 14, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$137$124.71 +10.1%Oct 10, 2025
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$135$124.71 +8.5%Oct 10, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$143$124.38 +14.9%Oct 6, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$137$121.57 +10.1%Oct 3, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$134$122.32 +7.7%Sep 26, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$132$118.87 +6.1%Jul 1, 2025
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$135$115.23 +8.5%Mar 5, 2025
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$124$113.78 -0.4%Nov 11, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$121$115.09 -2.8%Oct 15, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$126$116.7 +1.3%Sep 17, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$116$116.85 -6.8%Sep 6, 2024
Argus ResearchMarie Ferguson$125$112.69 +0.5%Aug 21, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$120$113.51 -3.6%Aug 7, 2024
KeyBancSophie Karp$114$106.92 -8.4%Jul 22, 2024
KeyBancSophie Karp$112$103.7 -10.0%May 20, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$110$103.89 -11.6%May 17, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$99$94.13 -20.4%Apr 16, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$99$96.12 -20.4%Apr 5, 2024
RBC CapitalShelby Tucker$113$99.28 -9.2%Jan 10, 2024
Seaport GlobalAngie Storozynski$93$96.39 -25.3%Mar 17, 2023
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$110$103.7 -11.6%Jan 4, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$110$102.72 -11.6%Dec 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$106$96.12 -14.8%Nov 11, 2022
Credit SuisseNicholas Campanella$114$111.06 -8.4%Aug 23, 2022
Credit SuisseNicholas Campanella$125$113.8 +0.5%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$122$115.58 -2.0%Apr 20, 2022
CitigroupRyan Levine$120$112.82 -3.6%Apr 1, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$107$103.52 -14.0%Jan 10, 2022
BarclaysEric Beaumont$110$100.21 -11.6%Dec 6, 2021
Credit SuisseMaheep Mandloi$105$98.64 -15.6%Jul 13, 2021
Argus ResearchGary Hovis$106$96.88 -14.8%Jun 25, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Duke Energy Corporation, an energy provider operating across the United States with its various affiliates, structures its operations into three primary divisions: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure division is responsible for generating, transmitting, distributing, and retailing electricity across the Carolinas, Florida, and the Midwestern states. Its power generation relies on a diverse portfolio of fuel sources, including coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewable technologies, and nuclear energy. Beyond direct retail sales, it also provides electricity at wholesale rates to various entities such as municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, and other load-serving organizations.…

Historical context

All DUK earnings

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T06:20:42.646455+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T06:20:42.643374+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.