Duke Energy Corporation · DUK · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Duke Energy Reaffirms Guidance Despite Hurricane Headwinds

Duke Energy's long-term investment and demand outlook remains supported by regulatory approvals, grid modernization and economic-development load, but near-term earnings and credit metrics are exposed to storm costs and execution risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $97.04B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.62 Consensus $1.70
EPS surprise -4.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.15B Consensus $8.06B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.2% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.9% Up to 20 sessions
DUKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added material hurricane-related costs and lost revenue, while management disclosed roughly 2 GW of new data-center load agreements. The company maintained guidance but expects performance toward the lower half of the range.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed 2024 guidance, with results expected toward the lower half of the range because of hurricane impacts.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 adjusted EPS was $1.62, and management reaffirmed 2024 guidance while pointing to the lower half of the range.
  • Three consecutive hurricanes created material costs and lost revenue, but recovery mechanisms are in place.
  • Management highlighted regulatory approvals, grid-hardening investment, and roughly 2 GW of signed data-center load agreements.

Management priorities

  • Grid hardening and infrastructure investment.
  • Regulatory implementation across the Carolinas, Florida, and Indiana.
  • Data-center and other large industrial load agreements.
  • Evaluation of SMR nuclear technology and approvals.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DUK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.38 Q1 '24 actual $1.44, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.02 Q2 '24 actual $1.18, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.70 Q3 '24 actual $1.62, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.18 Q2 '25 actual $1.25, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.76 Q3 '25 actual $1.81, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.49 Q4 '25 actual $1.50, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.87 Q1 '26 actual $1.93, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.30 Q2 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.86 Q4 '26 estimate $1.56 Q1 '27 estimate $1.98
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1445.2%
Neutral1754.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$124.44Current
$93Low
$127.48Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 21, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 13, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $124.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$123$120.67 -1.2%Oct 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$128$121.3 +2.9%Oct 21, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$128$117.69 +2.9%Oct 13, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$130$116.65 +4.5%Oct 12, 2026
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$121$116.65 -2.8%Oct 12, 2026
See 66 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Duke Energy Corporation, an energy provider operating across the United States with its various affiliates, structures its operations into three primary divisions: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure division is responsible for generating, transmitting, distributing, and retailing electricity across the Carolinas, Florida, and the Midwestern states. Its power generation relies on a diverse portfolio of fuel sources, including coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewable technologies, and nuclear energy. Beyond direct retail sales, it also provides electricity at wholesale rates to various entities such as municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, and other load-serving organizations.…

Historical context

All DUK earnings

Utilities peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T06:20:42.646455+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T06:20:42.643374+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.