DT Midstream, Inc. · DTM · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

DT Midstream: pipeline backlog supports growth, with execution risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating outlook: management emphasized record 2025 performance, a pipeline-focused organic backlog, and demand from power generation, data centers, and LNG. Whether that translates into durable growth depends on project approvals, construction execution, and capital discipline; the reported EPS and revenue were slightly below estimates.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $12.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.08 Consensus $1.11
EPS surprise -2.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $317.0M Consensus $317.1M
Revenue surprise -0.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.9% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.5% Up to 20 sessions
DTMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current call analysis adds a record-year and project-backlog focus, including Viking expansion and Interstate modernization Phase 2. Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, which centered on strong quarterly throughput and the Guardian expansion, the new emphasis is a broader multi-project investment pipeline and 2026 project commitments.

Guidance delta

The call analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as raised and describes 2026–27 guidance as reaffirmed with modest EBITDA upside. It does not provide a specific numerical guidance change in the supplied summary.

Key takeaways

  • The analysis describes record 2025 adjusted EBITDA growth, supported by pipeline segment growth.
  • The organic project backlog is described as pipeline-focused, with new FIDs for Viking and Interstate modernization Phase 2.
  • Management cited power-generation demand, data-center loads, and LNG exports as demand drivers.
  • Reported EPS and revenue were slightly below estimates, a counterweight to the constructive operating narrative.

Management priorities

  • Advance the Viking expansion and Interstate modernization Phase 2.
  • Develop pipeline capacity to serve Midwest demand and LNG-linked growth.
  • Balance project investment with capital efficiency, leverage, and dividend growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DTM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $0.98, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.93 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.98 Q2 '25 actual $1.04, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.03 Q3 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.11 Q4 '25 actual $1.08, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.11 Q1 '26 actual $1.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.17 Q2 '26 actual $1.09, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.13 Q3 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.18 Q1 '27 estimate $1.25 Q2 '27 estimate $1.23 Q3 '27 estimate $1.22
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold15 ratings
Bullish960.0%
Neutral533.3%
Bearish16.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$120.98Previous close
$54Low
$120.77Average
$170High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 21, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainSep 16, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 10, 2026
Show 10 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $120.98. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$150$119.09 +24.0%Oct 15, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$165$117.88 +36.4%Oct 15, 2026
Goldman SachsJohn Mackay$121$126.55 +0.0%Oct 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$142$122.12 +17.4%Oct 6, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$145$125.08 +19.9%Sep 16, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DT Midstream, Inc. is a U.S.-based company offering a comprehensive suite of natural gas infrastructure and related services. The organization's operations are divided into two primary divisions: Pipeline and Gathering. It is responsible for the development, ownership, and management of an interconnected network of assets. This portfolio includes both interstate and intrastate pipelines, natural gas storage facilities, lateral pipelines, gathering systems, specialized treatment plants, and various compression and surface equipment.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T07:30:43.934393+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T07:30:43.931629+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.