Dow Inc. · DOW · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Dow sees Americas strength offset soft Europe and China demand

Dow’s low-cost Americas footprint and resilient packaging demand supported the quarter, but the outlook remains balanced by weak conditions in Europe and China, trade exposure and execution risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $24.55B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.47 Consensus $0.46
EPS surprise +2.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $10.88B Consensus $10.65B
Revenue surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.0% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.1% Up to 20 sessions
DOWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted year-over-year volume growth, a strategic review of selected European polyurethane assets, the Circulus recycling acquisition and a hydrogen supply agreement supporting Path2Zero.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management’s Q4 outlook called for year-over-year earnings growth with flat pricing and a Texas-8 ramp-up contribution.

Key takeaways

  • Americas feedstock advantages continued to support competitiveness and pricing.
  • Packaging and functional polymer demand remained comparatively resilient in North America.
  • European and Chinese demand stayed soft, increasing the importance of portfolio and cost actions.
  • Cash generation and liquidity support planned growth investments and capital flexibility.

Management priorities

  • Improve returns through the European polyurethane asset review.
  • Advance Path2Zero and its hydrogen supply arrangement.
  • Expand silicone capacity and develop circular recycled-resin products.
  • Execute the Transform the Waste circularity strategy.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DOW REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $11B Q2 '24 actual $11B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $11B Q3 '24 actual $11B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $10B Q2 '25 actual $10B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $10B Q3 '25 actual $10B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $9B Q4 '25 actual $9B, match Q1 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '26 actual $10B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $12B Q2 '26 actual $12B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $11B Q3 '26 actual $11B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '27 estimate $11B Q2 '27 estimate $11B Q3 '27 estimate $11B
Show 2 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1131.4%
Neutral2057.2%
Bearish411.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$33.99Previous close
$20Low
$46.98Average
$81High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 23, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 23, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 23, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral UnderperformUpgradeOct 19, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $33.99. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSJoshua Spector$33$32.28 -2.9%Oct 23, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$32$31.46 -5.9%Oct 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$33$31.81 -2.9%Oct 23, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$30$28.12 -11.7%Oct 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$32$27.54 -5.9%Oct 1, 2026
See 97 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Dow Inc. is a global leader in materials science, delivering diverse solutions for key industries such as packaging, infrastructure development, mobility, and consumer products. The company's reach extends across numerous regions, including the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment is responsible for producing foundational chemicals like ethylene, propylene, and aromatics, along with a range of polymers including polyethylene, polyolefin elastomers, ethylene vinyl acetate, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubbers.…

Historical context

All DOW earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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CX CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +12.0% -0.1% CEMEX sustains growth while shifting focus to efficiency and asset pruning
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 +6.9% -20.6% CRS: Aerospace Bookings Accelerate as Guidance Holds
NEM Newmont Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +12.2% -2.6% Newmont Holds 2026 Guidance as Projects Set Up 2027 Growth

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T09:00:41.961310+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T09:00:41.958371+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.