FN2 Earnings Intelligence

DOW (DOW) earnings history

Dow Inc. (DOW) quarterly earnings scorecards, market reactions, transcript intelligence, and historical context.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DOW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.45 Q1 '24 actual $0.56, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.72 Q2 '24 actual $0.68, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.46 Q3 '24 actual $0.47, beat Q2 '25 estimate $-0.17 Q2 '25 actual $-0.42, miss Q3 '25 estimate $-0.31 Q3 '25 actual $-0.19, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.46 Q4 '25 actual $-0.34, beat Q1 '26 estimate $-0.29 Q1 '26 actual $-0.14, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.25 Q2 '26 actual $1.44, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.63 Q4 '26 estimate $0.42 Q1 '27 estimate $0.31 Q2 '27 estimate $0.53
Show 1 more >
DOW FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Dow Inc.

Dow delivered a strong second quarter with net sales of $12.1 billion, up 20% year over year, and operating EBITDA of $2.3 billion, beating EPS estimates by 15.2%. The completion of the $1 billion cost-savings program and continued self-help initiatives are driving margin expansion even as polyethylene pricing faces headwinds from planned turnarounds. Management's strategic pivot toward high-value end markets—particularly data-center cooling and specialty silicones—signals a deliberate shift from commodity chemicals toward higher-margin applications. However, Q3 EBITDA guidance of $1.7 billion implies a meaningful sequential decline, reflecting expected margin compression from maintenance turnarounds and softer seasonal demand, partially offset by ongoing self-help actions.

EPS surprise+15.2%
Market move-1.1%
DOW FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Dow Inc.

Dow enters 2026 with earnings momentum from supply-driven polyethylene pricing plus a Transform to Outperform program targeting at least $2B of near-term EBITDA upside. Management's Q2 guide of roughly $2B EBITDA versus Q1's $873M rests on the Poly7 ramp, cost-out and a cost-advantaged Americas base. That margin case depends on geopolitical-tightened pricing and cost savings holding against feedstock inflation and a slower construction and industrial demand recovery; capital discipline and the Path2Zero returns support the downside.

EPS surprise+51.9%
Market move-0.7%
DOW FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Dow Inc.

The supplied analysis supports a mixed outlook: cost reduction, asset rationalization, new capacity and automation provide a path to improved earnings, but the case remains dependent on execution and a recovery in cyclical end-market demand.

EPS surprise+26.7%
Market move-2.2%
DOW FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Dow Inc.

The quarter provides evidence of operational improvement through Gulf Coast volume gains, cost savings and portfolio actions, but the broader recovery remains conditional on demand, feedstock costs and market conditions.

EPS surprise+38.4%
Market move+12.9%
DOW FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Dow Inc.

The quarter strengthens the case for a recovery-and-execution thesis, but does not confirm it: management raised near-term EBITDA guidance and highlighted cost savings and new capacity, while the dividend cut, weak sales backdrop, and oversupply underscore material downside risks.

EPS surprise-142.1%
Market move-17.5%

Get the DOW recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.