Dow Inc. · DOW · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Dow sees Americas strength offset soft Europe and China demand

Dow’s low-cost Americas footprint and resilient packaging demand supported the quarter, but the outlook remains balanced by weak conditions in Europe and China, trade exposure and execution risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $24.55B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.47 Consensus $0.46
EPS surprise +2.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $10.88B Consensus $10.65B
Revenue surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.0% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.1% Up to 20 sessions
DOWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted year-over-year volume growth, a strategic review of selected European polyurethane assets, the Circulus recycling acquisition and a hydrogen supply agreement supporting Path2Zero.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management’s Q4 outlook called for year-over-year earnings growth with flat pricing and a Texas-8 ramp-up contribution.

Key takeaways

  • Americas feedstock advantages continued to support competitiveness and pricing.
  • Packaging and functional polymer demand remained comparatively resilient in North America.
  • European and Chinese demand stayed soft, increasing the importance of portfolio and cost actions.
  • Cash generation and liquidity support planned growth investments and capital flexibility.

Management priorities

  • Improve returns through the European polyurethane asset review.
  • Advance Path2Zero and its hydrogen supply arrangement.
  • Expand silicone capacity and develop circular recycled-resin products.
  • Execute the Transform the Waste circularity strategy.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DOW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.72 Q2 '24 actual $0.68, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.46 Q3 '24 actual $0.47, beat Q2 '25 estimate $-0.17 Q2 '25 actual $-0.42, miss Q3 '25 estimate $-0.31 Q3 '25 actual $-0.19, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.46 Q4 '25 actual $-0.34, beat Q1 '26 estimate $-0.29 Q1 '26 actual $-0.14, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.25 Q2 '26 actual $1.44, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.64 Q3 '26 actual $0.71, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.53 Q1 '27 estimate $0.44 Q2 '27 estimate $0.58 Q3 '27 estimate $0.54
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1131.4%
Neutral2057.2%
Bearish411.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$33.99Previous close
$20Low
$46.98Average
$81High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 23, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 23, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 23, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral UnderperformUpgradeOct 19, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 1, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 20, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 6, 2026
Alembic Global Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 2, 2026
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeMay 13, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainMar 10, 2026
Fermium Research Buy HoldUpgradeMar 9, 2026
Keybanc Overweight Sector WeightUpgradeMar 4, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 29, 2025
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeJul 25, 2025
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 24, 2025
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 7, 2025
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainSep 12, 2024
Credit Suisse Underperform NeutralDowngradeJun 22, 2022
Wolfe Research Peer Perform UnderperformUpgradeApr 19, 2022
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 13, 2020
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2020
HSBC Reduce HoldDowngradeSep 16, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2020
ScotiaBank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 24, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2019
Bank of America Underperform NeutralDowngradeAug 16, 2019
Susquehanna Neutral PositiveDowngradeJul 29, 2019
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeMay 5, 2018
CLSA Underperform OutperformDowngradeJul 6, 2016
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 22, 2015
Gilford Securities Neutral SellUpgradeJan 28, 2015
Atlantic Equities Neutral OverweightDowngradeNov 28, 2014
The Oxen Group Hold HoldMaintainApr 4, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $33.99. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSJoshua Spector$33$32.28 -2.9%Oct 23, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$32$31.46 -5.9%Oct 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$33$31.81 -2.9%Oct 23, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$30$28.12 -11.7%Oct 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$32$27.54 -5.9%Oct 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$30$28.1 -11.7%Sep 25, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$32$29.44 -5.9%Sep 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$32$29.36 -5.9%Jul 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$39$30.04 +14.7%Jul 20, 2026
Goldman SachsDuffy Fischer$34$29.68 +0.0%Jul 16, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$33$27.71 -2.9%Jul 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$35$27.71 +3.0%Jul 3, 2026
Alembic GlobalHassan Ahmed$45$27.02 +32.4%Jul 2, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Roberts$35$27.36 +3.0%Jul 1, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$28$27.36 -17.6%Jul 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$37$34.14 +8.9%Jun 5, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$40$38.24 +17.7%Apr 27, 2026
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$51$38.66 +50.0%Apr 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$39$39.02 +14.7%Apr 24, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$46$38.22 +35.3%Apr 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$41$37.16 +20.6%Apr 21, 2026
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$47$38.8 +38.3%Apr 10, 2026
Alembic GlobalHassan Ahmed$50$38.04 +47.1%Apr 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$40$39.47 +17.7%Mar 26, 2026
Fermium ResearchFrank Mitsch$38$34.31 +11.8%Mar 9, 2026
Vertical ResearchAnalyst unavailable$37$34.31 +8.9%Mar 9, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$40$34.31 +17.7%Mar 9, 2026
KeyBancAleksey Yefremov$38$30.74 +11.8%Mar 4, 2026
UBSJoshua Spector$28$27.56 -17.6%Jan 30, 2026
JefferiesLaurence Alexander$28$27.16 -17.6%Jan 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$29$27.66 -14.7%Jan 16, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Roberts$27$24.8 -20.6%Jan 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$23$23.42 -32.3%Dec 23, 2025
Deutsche BankDavid Begleiter$25$22.98 -26.4%Dec 18, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$27$25.31 -20.6%Oct 29, 2025
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$27$24.51 -20.6%Oct 24, 2025
UBSJoshua Spector$25$24.51 -26.4%Oct 24, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Roberts$25$24.51 -26.4%Oct 24, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$24$21.9 -29.4%Oct 17, 2025
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$24$21.64 -29.4%Oct 14, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$24$23.54 -29.4%Oct 6, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$26$23.69 -23.5%Oct 3, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$30$24.14 -11.7%Sep 9, 2025
Redburn PartnersColin Isaac$40$22.38 +17.7%Aug 5, 2025
BMO CapitalJohn McNulty$20$25.18 -41.2%Jul 29, 2025
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$22$26.87 -35.3%Jun 23, 2025
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$30$30.02 -11.7%Apr 25, 2025
BarclaysMichael Leithead$32$29.76 -5.9%Apr 24, 2025
Wells FargoMichael Sison$40$28.2 +17.7%Apr 4, 2025
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$44$40 +29.4%Dec 19, 2024
Evercore ISIEric Boyes$56$40.57 +64.8%Dec 17, 2024
Wells FargoMichael Sison$55$42.18 +61.8%Dec 10, 2024
Piper SandlerCharles Neivert$60$46.49 +76.5%Nov 8, 2024
CitigroupPat Cunningham$52$50.15 +53.0%Sep 13, 2024
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$55$50.26 +61.8%Sep 13, 2024
Deutsche BankDavid Begleiter$53$50.04 +55.9%Sep 12, 2024
BMO CapitalJohn McNulty$57$52.98 +67.7%Jul 26, 2024
Piper SandlerCharles Neivert$64$53.06 +88.3%Jul 26, 2024
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$57$53.06 +67.7%Jul 26, 2024
JefferiesLaurence Alexander$55$55.44 +61.8%Jun 20, 2024
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$62$58.7 +82.4%May 17, 2024
UBSJohn Roberts$61$58.7 +79.5%May 16, 2024
Piper SandlerCharles Neivert$68$57.61 +100.1%Apr 29, 2024
Wells FargoMichael Sison$68$58.26 +100.1%Apr 2, 2024
J.P. MorganJeffrey Zekauskas$55$50.27 +61.8%Oct 17, 2023
Morgan StanleyVincent Andrews$54$55.62 +58.9%Jul 31, 2023
Deutsche BankDavid Begleiter$60$51.8 +76.5%Jun 13, 2023
UBSAnalyst unavailable$57$57.3 +67.7%Jan 11, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$60$55.97 +76.5%Jan 9, 2023
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$56$51.36 +64.8%Dec 15, 2022
Fermium ResearchFrank Mitsch$50$45.77 +47.1%Oct 21, 2022
Fermium ResearchAnalyst unavailable$60$50.51 +76.5%Sep 9, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesChristopher Parkinson$62$52.55 +82.4%Aug 2, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$60$51.58 +76.5%Jul 26, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$60$50.96 +76.5%Jul 11, 2022
Credit SuisseJohn Roberts$49$51.8 +44.2%Jun 22, 2022
JefferiesLaurence Alexander$81$54.77 +138.3%Jun 20, 2022
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$74$55.58 +117.7%Jun 16, 2022
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$68$69.06 +100.1%May 31, 2022
Piper SandlerCharles Neivert$78$67.49 +129.5%May 24, 2022
BarclaysMichael Leithead$72$66.5 +111.8%May 2, 2022
Argus ResearchBill Selesky$81$67.81 +138.3%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$76$66.17 +123.6%Apr 25, 2022
Deutsche BankDavid Begleiter$74$69.51 +117.7%Apr 22, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$80$68.5 +135.4%Apr 22, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$80$70.64 +135.4%Apr 22, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$76$69.51 +123.6%Apr 22, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$70$69.51 +105.9%Apr 22, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$82$69.51 +141.2%Apr 22, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesChris Parkinson$68$69.51 +100.1%Apr 21, 2022
Fermium ResearchFrank Mitsch$80$69.51 +135.4%Apr 21, 2022
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$70$69.51 +105.9%Apr 21, 2022
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$64$67.2 +88.3%Apr 19, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesChristopher Parkinson$68$65.88 +100.1%Apr 19, 2022
Deutsche BankDavid Begleiter$66$63.34 +94.2%Mar 21, 2022
Wells FargoMichael Sison$72$59.46 +111.8%Jan 27, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesChris Parkinson$65$58.55 +91.2%Jan 12, 2022
CitigroupPJ Juvekar$63$58.47 +85.3%Jan 11, 2022
BarclaysDuffy Fischer$69$57 +103.0%Oct 22, 2021
Wolfe ResearchJosh Silverstein$55$57.54 +61.8%Oct 18, 2021
HSBCSriharsha Pappu$52$60.98 +53.0%Jun 23, 2021
Argus ResearchBill Selesky$78$66.99 +129.5%Jun 8, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Dow Inc. is a global leader in materials science, delivering diverse solutions for key industries such as packaging, infrastructure development, mobility, and consumer products. The company's reach extends across numerous regions, including the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment is responsible for producing foundational chemicals like ethylene, propylene, and aromatics, along with a range of polymers including polyethylene, polyolefin elastomers, ethylene vinyl acetate, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubbers.…

Historical context

All DOW earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T09:00:41.961310+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T09:00:41.958371+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.