Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish1967.9%
Neutral932.1%
Bearish00.0%
Dover Corporation · DOV · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025
Dover Q4 Analysis: Bookings Momentum Meets Execution Risks
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Dover's demand indicators and margin-focused portfolio strategy provide a basis for continued growth, while execution, macro, and integration risks remain material. This is an analytical synthesis, not a trade recommendation.
Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials
$26.83B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $2.20
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $1.96B
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
+4.1%
Event window
SPY move
+0.5%
Same window
Abnormal move
+3.5%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
2.3×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-3.2%
Up to 20 sessions
DOVSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about DOV FY2024 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove DOV's +4.1% move after FY2024 Q4 earnings?What changed in DOV's guidance and outlook in FY2024 Q4?Give me the bull and bear case for DOV after FY2024 Q4 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes 7% organic bookings growth, book-to-bill above 1, higher planned capex, completed bolt-on acquisitions, and expansion of data-center thermal connectors. The analysis continues to describe guidance as maintained while adding explicit FX and tariff concerns.
Guidance delta
The analysis says management maintained guidance; it also highlights a 2025 target for double-digit EPS growth while noting foreign-exchange headwinds.
Key takeaways
- The current analysis identifies 7% year-over-year organic bookings growth and book-to-bill above 1 as evidence of demand momentum.
- Growth areas identified in the analysis include CO2 systems, single-use biopharma components, data-center thermal connectors, and vehicle-wash and fueling equipment.
- The prior analysis highlighted record segment margin, portfolio rotation, and unchanged free-cash-flow guidance; the current analysis adds higher planned capex and bolt-on acquisition activity.
Management priorities
- Invest organically in high-margin platforms and expand data-center thermal-connector capacity.
- Integrate recent bolt-on acquisitions and pursue additional proprietary acquisitions in pumps, process solutions, and plastics or polymers.
- Accelerate clean-energy CO2 systems and vehicle-wash and fueling growth while managing cash flow and foreign-exchange headwinds.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$199.2Current
$132Low
$216.73Average
$270High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 23, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 15, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 26, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 12, 2023 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 11, 2023 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 26, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 12, 2018 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 12, 2018 |
| Vertical Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 3, 2017 |
| Susquehanna | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 7, 2016 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jun 10, 2016 |
| Nomura | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 7, 2016 |
| William Blair | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Dec 16, 2015 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 3, 2015 |
| Global Hunter Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 18, 2013 |
| Ascendiant Capital | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 18, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $199.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $219 | $195.46 | +9.9% | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $258 | $195.49 | +29.5% | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Stephen Tusa | $233 | $195.49 | +17.0% | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Brett Linzey | $245 | $193.33 | +23.0% | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Stephen Tusa | $229 | $187.89 | +15.0% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $227 | $203.68 | +14.0% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Halloran | $270 | $197.8 | +35.5% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Daniel DiCicco | $240 | $197.8 | +20.5% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Nigel Coe | $262 | $213.55 | +31.5% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Christopher Snyder | $230 | $215.74 | +15.5% | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $265 | $224.49 | +33.0% | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $229 | $227.3 | +15.0% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $252 | $227.3 | +26.5% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Daniel DiCicco | $250 | $228.47 | +25.5% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Bryan Blair | $250 | $228.15 | +25.5% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Halloran | $279 | $228.15 | +40.1% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Barclays | Julian Mitchell | $230 | $228.15 | +15.5% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $237 | $209.21 | +19.0% | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Christopher Snyder | $210 | $216.32 | +5.4% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $245 | $210.52 | +23.0% | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $206 | $201.49 | +3.4% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $224 | $201.49 | +12.4% | Jan 31, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $209 | $202.53 | +4.9% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $255 | $204.72 | +28.0% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $232 | $207.49 | +16.5% | Jan 26, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $199 | $207.64 | -0.1% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Joseph O'Dea | $205 | $203.5 | +2.9% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Amit Mehrotra | $256 | $195.75 | +28.5% | Jan 4, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $195 | $190.27 | -2.1% | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $195 | $178.94 | -2.1% | Oct 28, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $198 | $179.82 | -0.6% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $235 | $179.82 | +18.0% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $200 | $179.82 | +0.4% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $206 | $186.5 | +3.4% | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Brett Linzey | $215 | $186.7 | +7.9% | May 16, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $176 | $169.01 | -11.6% | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Christopher Snyder | $185 | $163.66 | -7.1% | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $205 | $184.22 | +2.9% | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Joseph O'Dea | $200 | $187.98 | +0.4% | Jan 7, 2025 |
| UBS | Amit Mehrotra | $217 | $176.23 | +8.9% | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Joe Ritchie | $202 | $191.84 | +1.4% | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Nigel Coe | $227 | $191.03 | +14.0% | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Andrew Obin | $210 | $192.79 | +5.4% | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Bryan Blair | $215 | $191.28 | +7.9% | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Andrew Kaplowitz | $218 | $189.12 | +9.4% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $193 | $187.03 | -3.1% | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Halloran | $219 | $186.32 | +9.9% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $179 | $173.2 | -10.1% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Walt Liptak | $190 | $159.99 | -4.6% | Feb 5, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $152 | $152.88 | -23.7% | Feb 1, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $157 | $154.66 | -21.2% | Feb 1, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $174 | $152.35 | -12.7% | Feb 1, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joshua Pokrzywinski | $139 | $119.36 | -30.2% | Oct 12, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Nicole DeBlase | $132 | $128.25 | -33.7% | Jul 22, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joshua Pokrzywinski | $149 | $133.19 | -25.2% | Jun 7, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $161 | $140.87 | -19.2% | Apr 22, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $140.86 | -22.2% | Apr 22, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $159 | $141 | -20.2% | Apr 22, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $162 | $144.16 | -18.7% | Apr 22, 2022 |
| Barclays | Julian Mitchell | $190 | $153.92 | -4.6% | Apr 5, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Nicole Deblase | $176 | $178.77 | -11.6% | Jan 10, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Joseph O'Dea | $184 | $168.44 | -7.6% | Dec 20, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Andrew Obin | $205 | $167.82 | +2.9% | Oct 20, 2021 |
Track every rating change on DOV the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationDover Corporation operates as a global enterprise, supplying a wide array of industrial equipment, essential components, consumable products, replacement parts, software and digital platforms, and comprehensive support services. Its Engineered Products division delivers diverse machinery, parts, software, and solutions tailored for various industries, including automotive aftermarket service, waste management, industrial automation, aerospace and defense, heavy-duty winching and hoisting, and fluid dispensing. This segment also manufactures specific items such as manual and power clamps, rotary and linear mechanical indexers, conveyors, robotic pick-and-place units, glove ports, manipulators, and end-of-arm tooling like grippers, slides, and end effectors. The Clean Energy & Fueling segment focuses on providing components, equipment, software, and services crucial for the secure transportation of both traditional and sustainable fuels, along with other hazardous materials, throughout the supply chain.…
Historical context
All DOV earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.2% | -8.5% | Comfort Systems USA: Strong Growth, Record Backlog, Margin Watchpoints |
| BE Bloom Energy Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +36.0% | -8.7% | Bloom Energy Raises Outlook as AI Power Demand Drives Expansion |
| SNA Snap-on Incorporated | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -5.9% | -3.4% | Snap-on: C&I strength offsets organic sales pressure in Q3 |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +4.6% | +1.7% | Honeywell Raises 2026 Outlook as Backlog and Forge Support Growth |
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +6.0% | +7.0% | Lockheed Martin: backlog and guidance rise, with execution risks |
| NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +4.6% | +3.1% | Norfolk Southern posts strong Q3 as capex outlook rises |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FCNCAFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+8.2% move
- FCNCNFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+0.2% move
- FCNCOFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+1.0% move
- FCNCPFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+1.0% move
- RDYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026+24.0% EPS-0.2% move
- SLBFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+3.7% EPS+7.1% move
Missed on EPS
- INFYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026-4.8% EPS-6.6% move
- BBDFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-7.7% EPS+3.0% move
- SNAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.9% EPS-3.4% move
- SPOTFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-11.6% EPS+11.1% move
- VRSNFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-2.0% EPS-0.9% move
- HBANMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
Get the DOV recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-16T00:01:26.053560+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T18:40:43.678013+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T18:40:43.675095+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.