Dover Corporation · DOV · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Dover: Record margins and portfolio rotation offset regional and climate weakness

Dover's Q3 results support a measured version of the growth thesis: resilient demand in clean-energy components, thermal connectors, CO2 systems, and biopharma components is supporting bookings and margins, but regional weakness and the climate-sustainability downturn limit confidence in a broad near-term acceleration.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $27.27B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.27 Consensus $2.30
EPS surprise -1.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.98B Consensus $2.03B
Revenue surprise -2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.6% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.6% Up to 20 sessions
DOVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of portfolio rotation: segment margin reached a record 22.6%, organic bookings grew 5%, and the Environmental Solutions Group divestiture reduced capital-goods exposure. At the same time, heat exchangers faced a temporary downturn and production cuts, while management maintained free-cash-flow guidance.

Guidance delta

Management maintained free-cash-flow guidance at 13%-15% of revenue; the supplied analysis does not indicate a change to earnings guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Segment margin reached a record 22.6%, while adjusted EPS increased 6% to $2.27.
  • Organic bookings rose 5%, led by clean energy, thermal connectors, CO2 systems, and biopharma components.
  • Portfolio rotation and the Environmental Solutions Group divestiture increased capital-deployment flexibility, while heat exchangers remained under pressure.

Management priorities

  • Expand heat-exchanger production capacity for anticipated 2025 demand.
  • Accelerate synergies from recent acquisitions, including FW Murphy.
  • Continue portfolio pruning, pursue opportunistic M&A focused on higher-margin assets, and grow CO2-system bookings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DOV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.21 Q2 '24 actual $2.36, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.30 Q3 '24 actual $2.27, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.39 Q2 '25 actual $2.44, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.51 Q3 '25 actual $2.62, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.49 Q4 '25 actual $2.51, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.27 Q1 '26 actual $2.28, match Q2 '26 estimate $2.72 Q2 '26 actual $2.74, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.85 Q3 '26 actual $2.88, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.80 Q1 '27 estimate $2.59 Q2 '27 estimate $3.04 Q3 '27 estimate $3.14
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish1967.9%
Neutral932.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$202.51Previous close
$132Low
$216.73Average
$270High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 23, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJul 24, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $202.51. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$219$195.46 +8.1%Oct 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$258$195.49 +27.4%Oct 23, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Tusa$233$195.49 +15.1%Oct 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesBrett Linzey$245$193.33 +21.0%Oct 15, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Tusa$229$187.89 +13.1%Sep 24, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Dover Corporation operates as a global enterprise, supplying a wide array of industrial equipment, essential components, consumable products, replacement parts, software and digital platforms, and comprehensive support services. Its Engineered Products division delivers diverse machinery, parts, software, and solutions tailored for various industries, including automotive aftermarket service, waste management, industrial automation, aerospace and defense, heavy-duty winching and hoisting, and fluid dispensing. This segment also manufactures specific items such as manual and power clamps, rotary and linear mechanical indexers, conveyors, robotic pick-and-place units, glove ports, manipulators, and end-of-arm tooling like grippers, slides, and end effectors. The Clean Energy & Fueling segment focuses on providing components, equipment, software, and services crucial for the secure transportation of both traditional and sustainable fuels, along with other hazardous materials, throughout the supply chain.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T10:30:45.191423+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T10:30:45.189716+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.