Dell Technologies Inc. · DELL · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Dell’s AI server growth accelerates as margins improve

The call supports a constructive near-term operating case for Dell: AI-server demand is scaling, AI-server profitability improved, storage IP demand remained resilient, and management maintained higher FY25 revenue guidance. The key counterweights are supply availability, competitive and mix-related margin pressure, and execution on the anticipated PC recovery.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $381.15B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.89 Consensus $1.70
EPS surprise +11.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $25.03B Consensus $24.14B
Revenue surprise +3.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.3% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move +3.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.6% Up to 20 sessions
DELLSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, AI-server revenue growth accelerated from the previously reported 22% rate to 38% year over year, while the AI-server operating-income rate reached 11%. FY25 revenue guidance moved to $95.5–$98.5 billion from the prior $93.5–$97.5 billion range, and management added emphasis on AI services, engineering, and cost optimization. The call also included a $328 million workforce-reduction charge and identified GPU availability as a concern.

Guidance delta

Management maintained FY25 guidance, now targeting $95.5–$98.5 billion of revenue, approximately 10% growth, with ISG expected to grow about 30% year over year.

Key takeaways

  • AI-server revenue grew 38% year over year, and the AI-server operating-income rate expanded to 11%.
  • Revenue was $25.026 billion versus a supplied consensus estimate of $24.139 billion; EPS was $1.89 versus $1.70 consensus.
  • Management expects the PC business to recover in Q4 as Windows 10 end-of-life and an aging installed base support refresh demand.
  • Storage IP products grew at a double-digit rate despite a 5% decline in total storage revenue.
  • A $328 million workforce-reduction charge accompanied lower operating expenses and ongoing cost-optimization efforts.

Management priorities

  • Broaden rack-level AI systems and L11/L12 services.
  • Invest in data-center networking, engineering, storage, and AI-related professional services.
  • Continue cost-optimization initiatives, including AI-enabled productivity efforts.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DELL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1.47 Q3 '24 actual $1.88, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.73 Q4 '24 actual $2.20, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.26 Q1 '25 actual $1.27, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.70 Q2 '25 actual $1.89, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.29 Q2 '26 actual $2.32, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.47 Q3 '26 actual $2.59, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.53 Q4 '26 actual $3.89, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2.96 Q1 '27 actual $4.86, beat Q2 '27 estimate $4.89 Q3 '27 estimate $4.46 Q4 '27 estimate $4.77

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish2555.6%
Neutral1840.0%
Bearish24.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$574Previous close
$47.5Low
$385.17Average
$735High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 21, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 9, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 2, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $574. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$650$552.06 +13.2%Oct 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$511$570.04 -11.0%Sep 21, 2026
RBC CapitalDavid Paige$640$506.68 +11.5%Sep 10, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$650$533.27 +13.2%Sep 9, 2026
Deutsche BankGianmarco Conti$520$506.36 -9.4%Sep 3, 2026
See 106 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Dell Technologies Inc. is a worldwide technology leader that designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and provides support for a broad spectrum of information technology (IT) solutions, products, and services. The company's business activities are structured into three primary segments: the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), the Client Solutions Group (CSG), and VMware. The ISG division focuses on delivering enterprise-grade offerings, including both traditional and next-generation storage solutions, alongside various server configurations such as rack, blade, tower, and hyperscale models. This segment also provides networking products and related services aimed at helping corporate clients modernize their IT infrastructure, enrich end-user experiences, and accelerate critical business applications and processes. Complementary software, peripherals, and extensive support services—encompassing deployment, configuration, and extended warranties—are also part of its portfolio.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T07:00:40.816938+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T07:00:40.814077+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.