Deere & Company · DE · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

Deere raises outlook as construction strength offsets farm-market risks

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: strong construction demand, order backlogs, and precision-ag adoption supported a higher outlook, while uneven farm markets, tariff exposure, and potential margin pressure remain constraints.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $184.63B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.10 Consensus $4.69
EPS surprise +8.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $12.61B Consensus $10.81B
Revenue surprise +16.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.9% Event window
SPY move -0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +7.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.2% Up to 20 sessions
DESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the company reported stronger equipment profitability, raised full-year net income and cash-flow guidance, reduced direct tariff expense after policy changes, and highlighted early customer feedback on new excavators plus accelerating technology adoption.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year net income guidance to $4.75-$5 billion, cash flow guidance to $5-$5.5 billion, and kept construction and forestry sales growth near 20%.

Key takeaways

  • Equipment operations delivered 6% sales growth and a 14.4% operating margin.
  • Construction and forestry benefited from infrastructure demand, a 4-5 month order backlog, and technology adoption.
  • Tariff exposure fell to $1.1 billion after policy changes, but remains a FY27 headwind.
  • Precision-ag adoption is expanding, including See & Spray, advanced planters, and planned AI capabilities.
  • Agriculture demand remains exposed to commodity volatility, input costs, and softer conditions in South America and Europe.

Management priorities

  • Ramp new excavator models through 2027
  • Expand precision-ag and AI-enabled Operations Center capabilities
  • Continue ExactRate, ExactShot, and FurrowVision rollout
  • Support dealer and independent rental fleet expansion
  • Maintain early-order programs for sprayers and planters

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $5.21 Q1 '24 actual $6.23, beat Q2 '24 estimate $7.86 Q2 '24 actual $8.53, beat Q3 '24 estimate $5.63 Q3 '24 actual $6.29, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.57 Q3 '25 actual $4.75, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.84 Q4 '25 actual $3.93, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.02 Q1 '26 actual $2.42, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.70 Q2 '26 actual $6.55, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.69 Q3 '26 actual $5.10, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.44 Q1 '27 estimate $3.35
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold46 ratings
Bullish2043.5%
Neutral2043.5%
Bearish613.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$683.99Previous close
$325Low
$565.91Average
$813High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform In LineUpgradeSep 3, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 31, 2026
Baird Outperform NeutralUpgradeAug 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 24, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 24, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainAug 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 24, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 21, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 21, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 21, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 21, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 22, 2026
Jefferies Hold UnderperformUpgradeApr 8, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 24, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold HoldMaintainFeb 23, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainMay 21, 2025
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainAug 8, 2024
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainMay 17, 2024
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainMay 17, 2024
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 16, 2024
Melius Research Hold BuyDowngradeJan 8, 2024
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainNov 27, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 21, 2023
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainMay 15, 2023
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainFeb 21, 2023
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2022
Cowen & Co. Perform Market PerformMaintainJun 9, 2022
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 13, 2021
Vertical Research Buy BuyMaintainJan 20, 2021
William Blair Outperform Market PerformUpgradeMay 28, 2020
Bank of America Underperform NeutralDowngradeDec 2, 2019
DZ Bank Sell HoldDowngradeNov 29, 2019
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 15, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainMay 20, 2019
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeMay 5, 2018
Berenberg Sell SellMaintainJan 24, 2017
Aegis Capital Hold HoldMaintainDec 15, 2016
PiperJaffray Neutral UnderweightUpgradeNov 28, 2016
Piper Sandler Neutral UnderweightUpgradeNov 28, 2016
Macquarie Underperform UnderperformMaintainFeb 22, 2016
Societe Generale Hold HoldMaintainNov 16, 2015
Avondale Partners Outperform Market OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2015
Seaport Global Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 19, 2014
Longbow Research Underperform NeutralDowngradeMay 11, 2014
ISI Group Neutral CautiousMaintainApr 10, 2014
CLSA Underperform BuyDowngradeAug 1, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $683.99. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$813$698.37 +18.9%Sep 2, 2026
Raymond JamesTim Thein$730$648.34 +6.7%Aug 31, 2026
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$800$630.33 +17.0%Aug 31, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$804$657.08 +17.5%Aug 24, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$760$655.79 +11.1%Aug 24, 2026
BarclaysAdam Seiden$675$647.47 -1.3%Aug 24, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$585$626.31 -14.5%Aug 21, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$640$620.94 -6.4%Aug 21, 2026
UBSSteven Fisher$728$620.94 +6.4%Aug 21, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$570$610.48 -16.7%Aug 14, 2026
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$812$627.63 +18.7%Jul 2, 2026
OppenheimerNoah Kaye$680$529.12 -0.6%May 27, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$752$530.32 +9.9%May 26, 2026
D.A. DavidsonMichael Shlisky$685$522.86 +0.1%May 22, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$625$599.48 -8.6%Mar 9, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$765$653.68 +11.8%Feb 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$730$651.44 +6.7%Feb 23, 2026
D.A. DavidsonMichael Shlisky$775$648.92 +13.3%Feb 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$750$662.49 +9.7%Feb 23, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$550$662.49 -19.6%Feb 23, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$736$660.02 +7.6%Feb 20, 2026
OppenheimerKristen Owen$715$661.82 +4.5%Feb 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$775$659.94 +13.3%Feb 20, 2026
BMO CapitalJoel Jackson$500$657.33 -26.9%Feb 20, 2026
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$793$657.04 +15.9%Feb 20, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$675$662 -1.3%Feb 20, 2026
BMO CapitalJoel Jackson$460$464.92 -32.7%Dec 9, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$560$468.48 -18.1%Dec 9, 2025
JefferiesStephen Volkmann$475$467.31 -30.6%Dec 9, 2025
D.A. DavidsonMichael Shlisky$580$472.15 -15.2%Dec 1, 2025
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$531$464.59 -22.4%Nov 28, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$458$472.14 -33.0%Nov 28, 2025
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$612$469.87 -10.5%Nov 28, 2025
RBC CapitalSabahat Khan$541$469.87 -20.9%Nov 28, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$543$473.41 -20.6%Nov 13, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$535$457.16 -21.8%Oct 17, 2025
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$609$461.51 -11.0%Oct 8, 2025
Evercore ISIDavid Raso$491$491.13 -28.2%Aug 19, 2025
OppenheimerKristen Owen$560$503.47 -18.1%Jul 15, 2025
Raymond JamesTim Thein$560$531.48 -18.1%May 16, 2025
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$619$516.32 -9.5%May 15, 2025
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$510$499.62 -25.4%Mar 7, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$583$465.83 -14.8%Mar 3, 2025
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$443$376.44 -35.2%Aug 16, 2024
OppenheimerNoah Kaye$448$369.04 -34.5%Aug 15, 2024
CitigroupKyle Menges$370$369.04 -45.9%Aug 15, 2024
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$439$351.28 -35.8%Aug 15, 2024
BMO CapitalJoel Jackson$400$349.14 -41.5%Aug 8, 2024
Evercore ISIDavid Raso$371$374.96 -45.8%May 28, 2024
D.A. DavidsonMichael Shlisky$465$397.02 -32.0%May 20, 2024
Goldman SachsJerry Revich$466$396.48 -31.9%May 17, 2024
Stifel NicolausStanley Elliott$450$394.43 -34.2%May 17, 2024
OppenheimerNoah Kaye$465$394.43 -32.0%May 17, 2024
Deutsche BankNicole DeBlase$402$394.43 -41.2%May 16, 2024
Morgan StanleyAngel Castillo$450$393.17 -34.2%Apr 15, 2024
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$494$378.85 -27.8%Mar 13, 2024
J.P. MorganTami Zakaria$385$384.78 -43.7%Feb 15, 2024
UBSSteven Fisher$408$382.65 -40.4%Nov 22, 2023
Wells FargoSeth Weber$445$363.55 -34.9%May 22, 2023
CitigroupTimothy Thein$505$402.96 -26.2%Feb 17, 2023
UBSSteven Fisher$437.46$437.52 -36.0%Nov 25, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$374$405.69 -45.3%Nov 17, 2022
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$420$381.38 -38.6%Aug 24, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$425$369.64 -37.9%Aug 23, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$386$369.9 -43.6%Aug 22, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$447$369.66 -34.6%Aug 22, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$423$369.66 -38.2%Aug 22, 2022
Morgan StanleyCourtney Yakavonis$424$369.66 -38.0%Aug 21, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$388$361.55 -43.3%Aug 11, 2022
JefferiesStephen Volkmann$400$319.02 -41.5%Jul 26, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$416$306.48 -39.2%Jul 18, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$325$300.7 -52.5%Jul 12, 2022
BarclaysAdam Seiden$400$335.04 -41.5%May 23, 2022
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$425$336.39 -37.9%May 23, 2022
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$419$335.92 -38.7%May 23, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$452$329.02 -33.9%May 23, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$420$313.31 -38.6%May 23, 2022
BMO CapitalJoel Tiss$425$313.31 -37.9%May 22, 2022
OppenheimerNoah Kaye$446$381.23 -34.8%May 3, 2022
Deutsche BankNicole Deblase$417$346.98 -39.0%Feb 26, 2022
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$487$369.1 -28.8%Feb 20, 2022
Credit SuisseJamie Cook$471$379.42 -31.1%Jan 13, 2022
BarclaysAdam Seiden$415$379.42 -39.3%Jan 13, 2022
Stifel NicolausStanley Elliott$445$346.15 -34.9%Nov 29, 2021
Morgan StanleyCourtney Yakavonis$485$357.3 -29.1%Nov 26, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesRoss Gilardi$425$357.3 -37.9%Nov 26, 2021
CitigroupTimothy Thein$415$379.75 -39.3%May 14, 2021
Wolfe ResearchGreg Badishkanian$425$374.07 -37.9%Apr 12, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Deere & Company is a global manufacturer and distributor of a wide range of equipment. The company's operations are organized into four primary business segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Production and Precision Agriculture segment focuses on large-scale farming and advanced agricultural practices, offering medium-sized tractors, various harvesting machinery (including combines, cotton pickers, and sugarcane harvesters), front-end harvesting tools, sugarcane loaders, pull-behind scrapers, and essential tillage and seeding implements. It also supplies specialized application equipment like sprayers and nutrient management systems, along with soil preparation machinery, primarily serving grain growers. The Small Agriculture and Turf segment caters to smaller farming needs and land maintenance. Its product line includes utility tractors along with their complementary loaders and attachments.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-20T16:14:01.379552+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T11:50:49.011385+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T11:50:49.008248+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.