Deere & Company · DE · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2026

Deere raises segment outlook as orders and shipments strengthen

The quarter strengthens the case for near-term resilience: higher shipments, stronger order books, and raised segment outlooks outweighed ongoing large-ag and tariff risks. The longer-term case depends on whether digital initiatives, product launches, and inventory discipline can convert demand into durable margins.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $191.52B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.42 Consensus $2.02
EPS surprise +19.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.00B Consensus $7.59B
Revenue surprise +5.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +11.6% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +11.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -14.3% Up to 20 sessions
DESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management’s tone became more constructive as order books and shipments strengthened. The company raised Small Agriculture and Turf and Construction and Forestry sales outlooks, while keeping full-year net income guidance unchanged.

Guidance delta

Raised net-sales outlooks for Small Agriculture and Turf and Construction and Forestry; maintained FY2026 net income guidance of $4.5 billion to $5.0 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 net sales increased 13% year over year and equipment operations increased 18%.
  • Stronger order books supported higher Small Agriculture and Turf and Construction and Forestry sales outlooks.
  • New 20-ton excavators and the Tenna digital platform expand Deere’s product and connectivity initiatives.
  • Tariffs remain a material cost risk, although management expects price and cost actions to be neutral.

Management priorities

  • Align production and inventory with retail demand
  • Expand precision, connectivity, and digital services
  • Launch new excavators and integrate Tenna with Deere’s digital platforms

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $5.21 Q1 '24 actual $6.23, beat Q2 '24 estimate $7.86 Q2 '24 actual $8.53, beat Q3 '24 estimate $5.63 Q3 '24 actual $6.29, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.57 Q3 '25 actual $4.75, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.84 Q4 '25 actual $3.93, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.02 Q1 '26 actual $2.42, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.70 Q2 '26 actual $6.55, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.69 Q3 '26 actual $5.10, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.44 Q1 '27 estimate $3.35
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold46 ratings
Bullish2043.5%
Neutral2043.5%
Bearish613.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$696.29Current
$325Low
$565.91Average
$813High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform In LineUpgradeSep 3, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 31, 2026
Baird Outperform NeutralUpgradeAug 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 24, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 24, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $696.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$813$698.37 +16.8%Sep 2, 2026
Raymond JamesTim Thein$730$648.34 +4.8%Aug 31, 2026
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$800$630.33 +14.9%Aug 31, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$804$657.08 +15.5%Aug 24, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$760$655.79 +9.1%Aug 24, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Deere & Company is a global manufacturer and distributor of a wide range of equipment. The company's operations are organized into four primary business segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Production and Precision Agriculture segment focuses on large-scale farming and advanced agricultural practices, offering medium-sized tractors, various harvesting machinery (including combines, cotton pickers, and sugarcane harvesters), front-end harvesting tools, sugarcane loaders, pull-behind scrapers, and essential tillage and seeding implements. It also supplies specialized application equipment like sprayers and nutrient management systems, along with soil preparation machinery, primarily serving grain growers. The Small Agriculture and Turf segment caters to smaller farming needs and land maintenance. Its product line includes utility tractors along with their complementary loaders and attachments.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T15:40:56.798449+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T15:40:56.796190+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.