Carvana Co. · CVNA · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Carvana scales past 200,000 Q3 sales while maintaining EBITDA guidance

Carvana's Q3 results provide evidence for a growth-and-execution case: record volume, revenue, profitability, improved leverage, and maintained EBITDA guidance. The counterpoints are margin sensitivity to mix and operating costs, financing-rate exposure, capacity execution, and uncertainty around new AI initiatives; the modestly negative market reaction suggests the strong operating report was not fully rewarded immediately.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $64.77B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.39 Consensus $0.44
EPS surprise -11.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.04B Consensus $7.71B
Revenue surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -0.3% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
CVNASPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about CVNA FY2026 Q3

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

Carvana crossed 200,000 quarterly sales and $8 billion of revenue, introduced agentic commerce as a growth concept, and refinanced the remaining $1.7 billion of senior secured notes. Management also reported lower leverage and $45 million of expected annual interest savings, while FY 2026 EBITDA guidance remained unchanged.

Guidance delta

FY 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance was maintained at $2.7-$3.0 billion, with management targeting the high end of the range.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue reached $8.04 billion on 217,385 units, a first quarter above 200,000 sales.
  • Management highlighted a $32 billion revenue run-rate and continued scaling of inventory and reconditioning capacity.
  • A refinancing of $1.7 billion in senior secured notes is expected to reduce annual interest expense by $45 million.
  • Net debt to adjusted EBITDA improved to 0.8x, while adjusted EBITDA was $800 million.
  • AI-driven agentic commerce, advertising, and the Stellantis collaboration remain strategic initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Increase inventory availability and reconditioning throughput.
  • Improve selection, speed, and customer experience as the operating model scales.
  • Invest in advertising, AI tools, and agentic commerce capabilities.
  • Develop partnerships, including the Stellantis new-car collaboration.
  • Preserve operating leverage and balance-sheet improvement as volume grows.

Follow CVNA with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CVNA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $-0.95 Q4 '23 actual $-1.00, miss Q1 '24 estimate $-0.67 Q1 '24 actual $-0.41, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-0.07 Q2 '24 actual $0.14, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.25 Q3 '24 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.23 Q2 '25 actual $0.26, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.27 Q3 '25 actual $0.21, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.23 Q4 '25 actual $0.84, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.32 Q1 '26 actual $0.34, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.39 Q2 '26 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.44 Q3 '26 actual $0.39, miss Q4 '26 estimate $0.36 Q1 '27 estimate $0.44
Show less

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish2146.7%
Neutral2146.7%
Bearish36.6%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$59.05Previous close
$5.5Low
$231.92Average
$537High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $59.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoDavid Lantz$75$58.7 +27.0%Oct 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$59.21 +49.0%Oct 15, 2026
StephensJeff Lick$83$63.69 +40.6%Oct 6, 2026
BarclaysJohn Babcock$80$63.69 +35.5%Oct 6, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$90$63.62 +52.4%Sep 30, 2026
See 123 more

Track every rating change on CVNA the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Carvana Co., along with its subsidiaries, operates a digital platform facilitating the purchase and sale of pre-owned vehicles across the United States. Their comprehensive services span the entire customer journey, including sourcing and reconditioning automobiles, providing an intuitive online browsing and transaction experience, offering financing solutions, and supplying complementary products. The company also manages its own specialized logistics network for distinctive delivery and pickup options, alongside providing extensive post-sale support. Furthermore, Carvana operates various vehicle auction sites. This company was established in 2012 and maintains its headquarters in Tempe, Arizona.

Historical context

All CVNA earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
MGM MGM Resorts International FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 -405.6% -2.6% MGM posts solid Q3 as fuel costs pressure leisure demand
F-PD Ford Motor Company 6.500% Notes FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +19.5% — Ford raises 2026 EBIT outlook as trucks and adjacencies strengthen
SW Smurfit Westrock plc FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 -29.5% -5.2% Smurfit WestRock Holds Margin Despite $700M Cost Headwind

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the CVNA recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T04:11:08.036416+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-29T01:23:20.584741+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-29T07:40:43.253812+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-29T07:40:43.251193+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.