CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock · CRWV · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

CoreWeave pairs strong AI demand with an aggressive expansion plan

The supplied analysis supports the growth hypothesis for CoreWeave through strong AI demand, strategic contracts, and capacity expansion. The countercase is that aggressive capex, financing costs, customer concentration, tariffs, and contract-accounting uncertainty could limit how efficiently that demand converts into earnings.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $33.86B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.27 Consensus $-0.23
EPS surprise -16.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.21B Consensus $1.08B
Revenue surprise +12.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -20.8% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -21.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.3% Up to 20 sessions
CRWVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis emphasizes a raised guidance outlook, accelerating capacity investment, expansion into Europe, additional GPU deployments, and the integration of Weights & Biases. It also makes the margin, financing, tariff, concentration, and accounting trade-offs more central to the investment case.

Guidance delta

Management's guidance sentiment was raised, alongside an increasing capex outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong demand across enterprise AI and inference workloads.
  • Large strategic contracts and backlog growth support the demand case in the supplied analysis.
  • Capacity expansion and platform development are central to the growth plan.
  • The key debate is whether contracted demand can offset near-term margin and financing pressure.

Management priorities

  • Expand purpose-built data-center capacity in the United States and Europe.
  • Deploy additional GPU generations and expand AI object storage.
  • Integrate Weights & Biases capabilities into the platform.
  • Scale contracted power to support multi-year demand.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CRWV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '25 estimate $-0.23 Q2 '25 actual $-0.27, miss Q3 '25 estimate $-0.40 Q3 '25 actual $-0.08, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.50 Q4 '25 actual $-0.56, miss Q1 '26 estimate $-0.92 Q1 '26 actual $-1.11, miss Q2 '26 estimate $-1.21 Q2 '26 actual $-1.03, beat Q3 '26 estimate $-1.26 Q4 '26 estimate $-0.68 Q1 '27 estimate $-0.68 Q2 '27 estimate $-0.60

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish2167.8%
Neutral929.0%
Bearish13.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$61.39Current
$58Low
$132.46Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2026
Freedom Capital Markets Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 24, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $61.39. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$88$65.78 +43.3%Oct 15, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$200$88.18 +225.8%Oct 7, 2026
Rosenblatt SecuritiesJohn McPeake$250$87.12 +307.2%Oct 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$120$86.76 +95.5%Sep 22, 2026
BTG PactualAnalyst unavailable$125$85.66 +103.6%Sep 21, 2026
See 66 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CoreWeave, Inc. operates a specialized cloud computing platform designed to empower generative AI (GenAI) applications. It constructs the fundamental infrastructure necessary to manage intensive compute workloads for large enterprises. The company's comprehensive suite of offerings includes high-performance GPU and CPU compute resources, robust storage solutions, advanced networking capabilities, and fully managed services. Clients can choose from flexible virtual servers or powerful bare-metal options. Beyond core hardware, its platform integrates sophisticated tools like a fleet lifecycle controller, a node lifecycle controller, Tensorizer, and advanced observability features. CoreWeave's expertise also extends to specialized services, such as visual effects (VFX) and rendering, AI model training, AI inference, and "Mission Control." Originally incorporated in 2017 as Atlantic Crypto Corporation, the company rebranded to CoreWeave, Inc. in December 2019 and is headquartered in Livingston, New Jersey.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T02:50:41.855797+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T02:50:41.852909+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.