Cencora, Inc. · COR · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2025

Cencora raises FY2025 outlook as GLP-1 demand and RCA expand growth

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: strong U.S. healthcare solutions demand, GLP-1 growth, and specialty expansion through RCA improved the near-term outlook, while margin headwinds, cash-flow timing, integration, and logistics risks temper confidence in durable growth.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $63.24B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $3.50
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $78.16B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.7% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.2% Up to 20 sessions
CORSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, management reported a stronger Q1 start, completed the RCA acquisition, and raised full-year EPS and revenue-growth guidance. The focus shifted toward integrating RCA and managing the associated financing, while World Courier weakness and negative quarterly free cash flow remain watch items.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year EPS guidance to $15.25-$15.55 and revenue growth guidance to 8%-10%; U.S. revenue growth guidance is now 9%-11%.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue rose 13% and adjusted EPS rose 14%, led by U.S. healthcare solutions and GLP-1 demand.
  • The completed RCA acquisition is incorporated into guidance and expands Cencora's specialty MSO platform.
  • COVID-19 vaccine and exclusive-therapy contributions remain a margin headwind; adjusted free cash flow was negative $2.8 billion this quarter.

Management priorities

  • Integrate RCA and expand the specialty MSO platform.
  • Advance digital transformation and technology upgrades.
  • Develop World Courier's cell-and-gene-therapy logistics opportunity while managing capital allocation and deleveraging.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
COR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $3.69 Q2 '24 actual $3.80, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.22 Q3 '24 actual $3.34, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3.23 Q4 '24 actual $3.34, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.85 Q3 '25 actual $4.00, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.79 Q4 '25 actual $3.84, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.05 Q1 '26 actual $4.08, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.82 Q2 '26 actual $4.75, miss Q3 '26 estimate $4.35 Q3 '26 actual $4.48, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.57 Q1 '27 estimate $4.51 Q2 '27 estimate $5.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3272.7%
Neutral1125.0%
Bearish12.3%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$325.06Previous close
$142Low
$282.07Average
$440High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 11, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 7, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 7, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 10, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 7, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeJan 22, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainNov 10, 2025
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 6, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainMay 26, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 2, 2023
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJan 11, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 17, 2022
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMay 3, 2022
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 16, 2021
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMar 21, 2021
Bank of America Underperform NeutralDowngradeFeb 11, 2020
KeyBanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 10, 2019
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 26, 2018
Berenberg Buy BuyMaintainSep 20, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
Moffett Nathanson Buy BuyMaintainApr 9, 2018
Mitsubishi UFJ Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 10, 2018
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 19, 2017
William Blair Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 22, 2017
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 7, 2017
Needham Buy BuyMaintainApr 4, 2017
Leerink Swann Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 16, 2017
Avondale Partners Outperform Market PerformUpgradeOct 4, 2016
Stifel Nicolaus Hold SellUpgradeOct 3, 2016
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJul 21, 2016
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainJun 7, 2016
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeApr 29, 2016
BB&T Capital Buy BuyMaintainNov 11, 2015
FBR Capital Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 21, 2014
ISI Group Hold BuyDowngradeOct 30, 2014
Cantor Fitzgerald Hold SellUpgradeMay 29, 2014
Evercore Partners Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeDec 4, 2013
Sterne Agee Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2013
McNicoll Lewis Vlak Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $325.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalRyan Halsted$330$316.13 +1.5%Aug 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$346$323.29 +6.4%Aug 7, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$370$313.37 +13.8%Aug 6, 2026
UBSKevin Caliendo$430$313.51 +32.3%Aug 6, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$350$317.22 +7.7%Aug 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$350$279.57 +7.7%Jun 10, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$331$261.08 +1.8%May 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$342$265.58 +5.2%May 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$412$256.01 +26.7%May 7, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$360$324.93 +10.7%Apr 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$380$334.15 +16.9%Mar 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$425$351.06 +30.7%Feb 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$429$363.27 +32.0%Feb 10, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$420$354.83 +29.2%Feb 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$400$350.54 +23.1%Jan 29, 2026
JefferiesBrian Tanquilut$440$351.75 +35.4%Jan 22, 2026
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$415$345.3 +27.7%Jan 13, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$392$345.64 +20.6%Dec 16, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$400$337.82 +23.1%Dec 8, 2025
UBSKevin Caliendo$415$363.58 +27.7%Nov 7, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$400$352.13 +23.1%Nov 6, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesSteven Valiquette$340$333.17 +4.6%Oct 30, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$380$334 +16.9%Oct 27, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesSteven Valiquette$334$319.61 +2.8%Oct 16, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$340$308.71 +4.6%Oct 8, 2025
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$354$289.15 +8.9%Aug 13, 2025
Morgan StanleyErin Wright$330$295.68 +1.5%Jul 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyErin Wright$288$284.54 -11.4%Apr 15, 2025
CitigroupDaniel Grosslight$284$229.34 -12.6%Sep 18, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesAllen Lutz$245$234.53 -24.6%Sep 18, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Rodgers$283$236.24 -12.9%Sep 6, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Rodgers$287$237.88 -11.7%Aug 1, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Rodgers$280$216.21 -13.9%May 29, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Rodgers$275$242.04 -15.4%Apr 5, 2024
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$270$245.8 -16.9%Apr 4, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnn Hynes$174$166.87 -46.5%May 3, 2023
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$190$164.83 -41.5%Jan 12, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$176$151.31 -45.9%Aug 22, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$175$143.05 -46.2%Aug 4, 2022
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$170$141.55 -47.7%Jul 20, 2022
Evercore ISIElizabeth Anderson$150$140.4 -53.9%Jul 19, 2022
UBSKevin Caliendo$174$145.02 -46.5%Jun 23, 2022
Deutsche BankGeorge Hill$178$145.76 -45.2%Jun 10, 2022
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$170$145.62 -47.7%Jun 9, 2022
Evercore ISIElizabeth Anderson$165$150.01 -49.2%Jun 2, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$175$156.08 -46.2%May 27, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$168$155.19 -48.3%May 5, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$162$154.86 -50.2%May 5, 2022
BarclaysSteven Valiquette$152$136.01 -53.2%Jan 11, 2022
Morgan StanleyRicky Goldwasser$142$124.77 -56.3%Dec 17, 2021
Deutsche BankGeorge Hill$153$124.93 -52.9%Nov 12, 2021
UBSKevin Caliendo$144$117.98 -55.7%Aug 11, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cencora, Inc. functions as a global leader in the sourcing and distribution of pharmaceutical products, with operations spanning both the United States and international markets. Within its U.S. Healthcare Solutions segment, the company supplies a broad spectrum of pharmaceutical items, including generic and injectable medications, over-the-counter health products, and home healthcare equipment. Its extensive client network includes acute care hospitals, health systems, a variety of retail and mail-order pharmacies (independent, chain, long-term care), medical clinics, and other healthcare providers. This division also manages the distribution of crucial specialized pharmaceutical products like plasma, blood derivatives, and vaccines. Beyond product supply, Cencora offers comprehensive support services, such as pharmacy management, staffing solutions, and strategic consulting.…

Historical context

All COR earnings

Healthcare peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-22T00:04:22.296664+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T10:30:42.905130+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T10:30:42.902445+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.