Cencora, Inc. · COR · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2025

Cencora raises FY2025 outlook as GLP-1 demand and RCA expand growth

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: strong U.S. healthcare solutions demand, GLP-1 growth, and specialty expansion through RCA improved the near-term outlook, while margin headwinds, cash-flow timing, integration, and logistics risks temper confidence in durable growth.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $63.24B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $3.50
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $78.16B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.7% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.2% Up to 20 sessions
CORSPY benchmark

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What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, management reported a stronger Q1 start, completed the RCA acquisition, and raised full-year EPS and revenue-growth guidance. The focus shifted toward integrating RCA and managing the associated financing, while World Courier weakness and negative quarterly free cash flow remain watch items.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year EPS guidance to $15.25-$15.55 and revenue growth guidance to 8%-10%; U.S. revenue growth guidance is now 9%-11%.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue rose 13% and adjusted EPS rose 14%, led by U.S. healthcare solutions and GLP-1 demand.
  • The completed RCA acquisition is incorporated into guidance and expands Cencora's specialty MSO platform.
  • COVID-19 vaccine and exclusive-therapy contributions remain a margin headwind; adjusted free cash flow was negative $2.8 billion this quarter.

Management priorities

  • Integrate RCA and expand the specialty MSO platform.
  • Advance digital transformation and technology upgrades.
  • Develop World Courier's cell-and-gene-therapy logistics opportunity while managing capital allocation and deleveraging.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
COR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $3.69 Q2 '24 actual $3.80, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.22 Q3 '24 actual $3.34, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3.23 Q4 '24 actual $3.34, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.85 Q3 '25 actual $4.00, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.79 Q4 '25 actual $3.84, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.05 Q1 '26 actual $4.08, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.82 Q2 '26 actual $4.75, miss Q3 '26 estimate $4.35 Q3 '26 actual $4.48, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.57 Q1 '27 estimate $4.51 Q2 '27 estimate $5.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3272.7%
Neutral1125.0%
Bearish12.3%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$325.06Previous close
$142Low
$282.07Average
$440High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 11, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 7, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $325.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalRyan Halsted$330$316.13 +1.5%Aug 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$346$323.29 +6.4%Aug 7, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$370$313.37 +13.8%Aug 6, 2026
UBSKevin Caliendo$430$313.51 +32.3%Aug 6, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$350$317.22 +7.7%Aug 6, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cencora, Inc. functions as a global leader in the sourcing and distribution of pharmaceutical products, with operations spanning both the United States and international markets. Within its U.S. Healthcare Solutions segment, the company supplies a broad spectrum of pharmaceutical items, including generic and injectable medications, over-the-counter health products, and home healthcare equipment. Its extensive client network includes acute care hospitals, health systems, a variety of retail and mail-order pharmacies (independent, chain, long-term care), medical clinics, and other healthcare providers. This division also manages the distribution of crucial specialized pharmaceutical products like plasma, blood derivatives, and vaccines. Beyond product supply, Cencora offers comprehensive support services, such as pharmacy management, staffing solutions, and strategic consulting.…

Historical context

All COR earnings

Healthcare peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
COO The Cooper Companies, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +2.7% -14.7% CooperCompanies beats expectations as inventory reduction weighs on vision revenue
MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-22T00:04:22.296664+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T10:30:42.905130+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T10:30:42.902445+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.