Capital One Financial Corporation · COF-PL · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
Capital One Q2: Integration Advances, Credit Remains Strong
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: resilient credit, Discover migration and early Brex benefits provide operating support, while higher expenses, integration execution and possible net interest margin pressure temper the outlook.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, Capital One reported stronger revenue growth and lower credit-loss provision, while non-interest expense increased. Discover migration reached 50% of originations on Capital One's technology platform, and Brex integration began producing early tailwinds; management continued to describe the earnings-power outlook as on target.
Guidance delta
Management maintained its earnings-power outlook and an 11% CET1 target.
Key takeaways
- Revenue grew 4% year over year while non-interest expense rose 7%, leaving pre-provision earnings flat.
- Provision for credit losses fell 27% to $1.1 billion below the prior quarter's level, and the allowance balance declined to $23 billion.
- Half of Discover originations are on Capital One's technology platform; full migration is expected by Q3 2026, with back-book migration phased through Q1 2027.
- Brex is producing early tailwinds, while marketing and data-pipeline integration are still progressing.
- Management highlighted continued investment in AI, cloud infrastructure and technology.
Management priorities
- Complete Discover technology migration.
- Integrate Brex data pipelines and expand its corporate-card business.
- Invest in AI, cloud infrastructure and the technology foundation.
- Expand Discover network acceptance internationally.
- Maintain capital at an 11% CET1 target while returning excess capital through repurchases.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 16, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 5, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Oct 2, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 20, 2023 |
| Stephens & Co. | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Jul 20, 2023 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 20, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 10, 2023 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 5, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 27, 2023 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 27, 2023 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Apr 11, 2023 |
| Odeon Capital | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Mar 1, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 21, 2022 |
| Oppenheimer | Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 11, 2022 |
| Baird | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 16, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Underperform | Peer Perform | Downgrade | May 11, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2021 |
| UBS | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 21, 2020 |
| Nomura | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 23, 2020 |
| Nomura Instinet | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 20, 2018 |
| Buckingham Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 23, 2018 |
| Compass Point | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 21, 2017 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Oct 24, 2017 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 16, 2017 |
| Stifel | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 13, 2016 |
| CLSA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 22, 2016 |
| Rafferty Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 24, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Jun 7, 2016 |
| Guggenheim | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | May 8, 2016 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 5, 2015 |
| FBR Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Apr 23, 2015 |
| Susquehanna | Neutral | Positive | Downgrade | Jan 16, 2014 |
| Janney Montgomery Scott | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 17, 2013 |
| Rochdale Securities | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 21, 2012 |
| Argus Research | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | May 7, 2012 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationCapital One Financial Corporation serves as the parent organization for its banking subsidiaries, Capital One Bank (USA), National Association, and Capital One, National Association. These entities deliver a diverse range of financial products and services to customers across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The corporation structures its business into three main divisions: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. Its offerings include various deposit accounts like checking, money market, negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW), savings, and time deposits.…
Historical context
All COF-PL earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COF-PI Capital One Financial Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | — | Capital One posts strong Q3 as Discover synergies build |
| MSCI MSCI Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | +5.0% | MSCI: AI-led product momentum offsets ongoing Climate pressure |
| COF-PN Capital One Financial Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | — | Capital One highlights integration synergies and stronger Q3 earnings power |
| EWBC East West Bancorp, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | +2.2% | East West Bancorp: Deposits and Credit Support a Confident Q3 |
| COF Capital One Financial Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | +0.9% | Capital One: Strong Credit and Synergies, Higher Investment Ahead |
| KEY-PK KeyCorp | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | — | KeyCorp Q3 2026: Record Revenue, Higher Growth Guidance |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
Missed on EPS
- AGNCMFY2026 Q3 · October 19, 2026-0.6% EPS-0.3% move
- STLDFY2026 Q3 · October 19, 2026-4.0% EPS-0.3% move
- AGNCFY2026 Q3 · October 19, 2026-0.6% EPS+4.1% move
- HDBFY2027 Q2 · October 17, 2026-2.0% EPS— move
- TFC-PIFY2026 Q3 · October 16, 2026-50.9% EPS— move
- TFC-POFY2026 Q3 · October 16, 2026-50.9% EPS— move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-22T14:03:12.078548+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-26T01:23:15.088209+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-21. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.