CMS Energy Corporation · CMS · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

CMS Energy Maintains Guidance as Michigan Investment Plan Advances

CMS Energy’s Q3 update supports a constructive operating trajectory: management maintained near-term guidance while advancing regulated-utility investment, Michigan load growth, and the NorthStar restructuring. The main counterweights are execution, regulatory, weather, and financing risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $21.82B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.35
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.23B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
CMSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current quarter added progress on NorthStar asset sales, a $27 billion integrated resource plan, and 745 MW of signed new load. Management also highlighted favorable gas-rate-case results and a growing FCM revenue opportunity.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2026 and 2027 adjusted EPS guidance and continued to target the high end of its 6%-8% annual adjusted EPS growth range.

Key takeaways

  • NorthStar restructuring is progressing, with signed agreements covering 35% of assets and completion expected by year-end.
  • The integrated resource plan outlines $27 billion of investment through 2040 across clean energy, batteries, and gas generation.
  • Management cited 745 MW of signed new load, 450 MW already energized, plus constructive gas and electric regulatory outcomes.

Management priorities

  • Complete the NorthStar restructuring and asset sales by year-end.
  • Execute the integrated resource plan and secure and energize data-center and industrial load.
  • Pursue multiyear rate plans while maintaining affordability initiatives and provide a Q4 capital-plan update.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CMS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1451.9%
Neutral1348.1%
Bearish00.0%

2 unmapped firm ratings excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$69Current
$57Low
$74.45Average
$84High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 21, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 19, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainSep 15, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $69. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCMeike Becker$69$68.13 +0.0%Oct 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$73$68.42 +5.8%Oct 21, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$76$68.26 +10.1%Oct 19, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$77$66.3 +11.6%Oct 14, 2026
Capital One FinancialAnalyst unavailable$73$64.54 +5.8%Oct 6, 2026
See 70 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CMS Energy Corporation operates as an energy company primarily in Michigan. The company operates through three segments: Electric Utility; Gas Utility; and NorthStar Clean Energy. The Electric Utility segment is involved in the generation, purchase, distribution, and sale of electricity. This segment generates electricity through coal, wind, gas, renewable energy, oil, and nuclear sources. Its distribution system comprises 263 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 4 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 4,619 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 18 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 82,854 miles of electric distribution overhead…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-27T16:10:42.761094+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-27T01:23:15.065758+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T22:50:41.073071+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T22:50:41.070436+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.