Grupo Cibest S.A. · CIB · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

CIB: Raised loan-growth outlook, with NIM pressure ahead

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view: improving macro conditions, deposit growth, digital expansion and a new holding structure may support growth, but expected NIM compression, credit risks and the unproven timing of Nequi profitability temper the outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $23.12B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.49 Consensus $1.45
EPS surprise +2.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.57B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.3% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +0.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.7% Up to 20 sessions
CIBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis is more constructive than the prior-quarter analysis: management raised loan-growth guidance, announced the Grupo Cibest restructuring, and emphasized Nequi’s scale and future profitability. The main offset is that lower rates are expected to compress NIM.

Guidance delta

Management raised its outlook, with loan-growth guidance of 6.5% for 2024 and 7.2% for 2025; it also expects NIM to compress to 6% and cost of risk to fall to about 2%.

Key takeaways

  • Management described improving macro conditions, including lower inflation and policy rates, alongside stronger credit quality and deposit growth.
  • The planned Grupo Cibest structure is intended to reduce regulatory complexity and improve capital allocation.
  • Nequi surpassed 20 million clients and remains a key future profit driver, though profitability timing remains a concern.

Management priorities

  • Complete the transition to Grupo Cibest
  • Accelerate consumer and mortgage loan growth
  • Scale Nequi lending and digital services
  • Keep expense growth below inflation

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CIB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $11.8T, None Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $11.1T, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '25 actual $3B, None Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $8.7T Q1 '27 estimate $8.9T Q2 '27 estimate $9.1T

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold15 ratings
Bullish746.7%
Neutral533.3%
Bearish320.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$97.91Current
$34Low
$77.4Average
$110High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 16, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral UnderperformUpgradeJun 1, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 23, 2026
Itau BBA Underperform Market PerformDowngradeFeb 26, 2026
Show 10 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $97.91. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$110$95.79 +12.3%Aug 13, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$110$91.47 +12.3%Aug 11, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$98$87.93 +0.1%Jul 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$72$73.65 -26.5%Apr 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$69$70.92 -29.5%Jan 13, 2026
See 2 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Grupo Cibest SA functions as an investment holding enterprise, with its headquarters situated in Medellin, Colombia.

Historical context

All CIB earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T03:00:43.375703+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T03:00:43.372882+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.