Grupo Cibest S.A. · CIB · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

CIB reports strong loan growth while maintaining 2025 guidance

The quarter supports a constructive operating picture: strong loan growth, rising CASA deposits and resilient NIM outweighed the risk that easing rates could pressure margins. However, reported profitability was helped by a one-time ECL provision release, so underlying earnings quality and the durability of growth remain important checks.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $21.61B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.18 Consensus $1.81
EPS surprise +20.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.76B Consensus $2.01B
Revenue surprise +37.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.9% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.6% Up to 20 sessions
CIBSPY benchmark

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What changed

The quarter added a one-time ECL provision release of EGP 13.1 billion placed in a special reserve, interest-rate swap gains of EGP 187 million in September 2025 versus EGP 15 million a year earlier, and improved NPL coverage of 281%. Management continued to emphasize technology investment, digital transformation and private-sector capex financing.

Guidance delta

Maintained: 2025 loan growth guidance of 20–25% blended and full-year NIM near 9%.

Key takeaways

  • Loan book expanded 30% year over year, led by 38% growth in local-currency loans.
  • Deposits grew 8%, with CASA reaching 60% and supporting funding-cost efficiency.
  • NIM remained resilient despite a 600-basis-point policy-rate cut; local NIM was 13% year to date.
  • A one-time ECL provision release of EGP 13.1 billion lifted reported profitability; ROE was 45.9%, or 37.7% adjusted.
  • Management highlighted continued technology and digital-transformation investment.

Management priorities

  • Continue investment in technology, digital platforms and talent
  • Expand the CASA deposit base to improve funding costs
  • Extend the duration of sovereign bond holdings
  • Maintain disciplined capital management and high CAR
  • Support private-sector capex projects and SME lending

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CIB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.47 Q1 '24 actual $1.80, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.43 Q2 '24 actual $1.44, match Q3 '24 estimate $1.45 Q3 '24 actual $1.49, beat Q2 '25 estimate $7,010.12 Q2 '25 actual $1.79, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.81 Q3 '25 actual $2.18, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.04 Q4 '25 actual $1.77, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.84 Q1 '26 actual $1.62, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2.14 Q2 '26 actual $3.32, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.93 Q4 '26 estimate $9,806.40 Q1 '27 estimate $10,198.01 Q2 '27 estimate $10,391.90
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold15 ratings
Bullish746.7%
Neutral533.3%
Bearish320.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$91.91Current
$34Low
$77.4Average
$110High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 16, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral UnderperformUpgradeJun 1, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 23, 2026
Itau BBA Underperform Market PerformDowngradeFeb 26, 2026
Show 10 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $91.91. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$110$95.79 +19.7%Aug 13, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$110$91.47 +19.7%Aug 11, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$98$87.93 +6.6%Jul 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$72$73.65 -21.7%Apr 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$69$70.92 -24.9%Jan 13, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Grupo Cibest SA functions as an investment holding enterprise, with its headquarters situated in Medellin, Colombia.

Historical context

All CIB earnings

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T20:26:10.853447+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T20:26:10.850697+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.