C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. · CHRW · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

C.H. Robinson: Strong execution, but Q4 freight risks remain

The current analysis supports a measured constructive view: execution, productivity, digital tools, and market-share initiatives are improving the operating profile, but the durability of those gains remains dependent on freight conditions and disciplined cost control.

Reported After market closeNASDAQIndustrials $16.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.28 Consensus $1.12
EPS surprise +14.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.64B Consensus $4.53B
Revenue surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -6.0% Event window
SPY move -2.0% Same window
Abnormal move -4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.5% Up to 20 sessions
CHRWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the current quarter showed stronger enterprise execution and a larger contribution from Global Forwarding, while management added clearer caution that peaked ocean rates could create Q4 pressure. The operating-model, AI, and productivity themes remained consistent.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained; the key change was greater emphasis on execution, productivity, and technology while acknowledging potential Q4 pressure from lower ocean rates.

Key takeaways

  • Management described continued operating-model execution, pricing discipline, and productivity gains as central to margin expansion.
  • Digital brokerage and generative-AI tools are being scaled across the order lifecycle, alongside investment in drop-trailer capabilities.
  • The outlook is constructive on market-share opportunities, but softer ocean rates and an uncertain freight recovery remain material offsets.

Management priorities

  • Scale the operating model and lean processes.
  • Expand AI-enabled pricing, revenue management, and digital brokerage.
  • Invest in technology and talent while pursuing disciplined pricing and market-share gains.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CHRW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.62 Q1 '24 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.96 Q2 '24 actual $1.15, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.12 Q3 '24 actual $1.28, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.16 Q2 '25 actual $1.29, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.30 Q3 '25 actual $1.40, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.12 Q4 '25 actual $1.23, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.23 Q1 '26 actual $1.35, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.53 Q2 '26 actual $1.61, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.75 Q4 '26 estimate $1.60 Q1 '27 estimate $1.62
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish2351.1%
Neutral1840.0%
Bearish48.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$143.82Previous close
$62Low
$162.02Average
$237High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 8, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 11, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 30, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 28, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 14, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 6, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 2, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJun 1, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeMay 20, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 30, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 30, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainMar 27, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold HoldMaintainFeb 2, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainJan 30, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 30, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2025
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJul 1, 2025
TD Securities Hold HoldMaintainMay 1, 2025
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainAug 18, 2023
Credit Suisse Underperform UnderperformMaintainAug 16, 2023
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 11, 2023
Cowen & Co. Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 5, 2023
Vertical Research Sell HoldDowngradeAug 17, 2022
Bank of America Underperform NeutralDowngradeOct 30, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2018
BB&T Capital Hold BuyDowngradeApr 27, 2016
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainApr 21, 2016
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeJan 7, 2016
Cleveland Research Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 11, 2015
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 10, 2014
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2014
Edward Jones Hold SellUpgradeJul 31, 2014
FBR Capital Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeMar 31, 2014
Wunderlich Securities Hold HoldMaintainFeb 6, 2014
Wunderlich Hold HoldMaintainFeb 6, 2014
Sterne Agee Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2012
Longbow Research Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 9, 2012
Avondale Partners Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 25, 2012
Oppenheimer Perform PerformMaintainMay 11, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $143.82. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesDavid Hicks$170$141.38 +18.2%Oct 15, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$153$142.31 +6.4%Oct 12, 2026
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$209$135.18 +45.3%Oct 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$200$134.44 +39.1%Oct 7, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$217$134.92 +50.9%Oct 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$203$140.61 +41.1%Oct 6, 2026
JefferiesStephanie Moore$220$140.61 +53.0%Oct 6, 2026
BernsteinDavid Vernon$151$148.29 +5.0%Aug 11, 2026
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$225$146.92 +56.4%Jul 31, 2026
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$237$149.13 +64.8%Jul 30, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$196$150.9 +36.3%Jul 30, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$192$173.75 +33.5%Jul 30, 2026
Janney MontgomeryAnalyst unavailable$155$168.95 +7.8%Jul 28, 2026
Robert W. BairdDaniel Moore$200$174.46 +39.1%Jul 28, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$220$209.42 +53.0%Jul 22, 2026
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$215$199.61 +49.5%Jul 15, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$226$198.24 +57.1%Jul 14, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$190$196.5 +32.1%Jul 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$91$190.5 -36.7%Jul 6, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$203$191.27 +41.1%Jul 2, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$230$179.78 +59.9%Jun 1, 2026
JefferiesStephanie Moore$200$173.02 +39.1%May 20, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$230$179.87 +59.9%May 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$210$187.2 +46.0%Apr 30, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$210$186.43 +46.0%Apr 30, 2026
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$205$167.66 +42.5%Mar 26, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsSergey Glinyanov$206$197.26 +43.2%Feb 2, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$160$194.71 +11.3%Jan 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$90$187.29 -37.4%Jan 29, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$210$188.74 +46.0%Jan 29, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$200$187.62 +39.1%Jan 29, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$202$190.76 +40.5%Jan 29, 2026
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$219$191.52 +52.3%Jan 29, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$203$184.28 +41.1%Jan 29, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$220$184.28 +53.0%Jan 29, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$180$192.53 +25.2%Jan 29, 2026
Raymond JamesPatrick Brown$215$190.91 +49.5%Jan 29, 2026
UBSThomas Wadewitz$224$177.9 +55.8%Jan 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$190$174.54 +32.1%Jan 15, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$149$173.42 +3.6%Jan 14, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$196$172.54 +36.3%Jan 12, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$153$166.01 +6.4%Jan 9, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$188$166.01 +30.7%Jan 8, 2026
SusquehannaBascome Majors$210$166.76 +46.0%Jan 8, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$175$164.64 +21.7%Jan 7, 2026
Wells FargoChristian Wetherbee$185$167.21 +28.6%Jan 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$184$157.62 +27.9%Dec 16, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$200$157.62 +39.1%Dec 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$85$157.22 -40.9%Dec 8, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$145$154.88 +0.8%Oct 31, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$165$154.75 +14.7%Oct 30, 2025
BernsteinDavid Vernon$135$155.56 -6.1%Oct 30, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$131$154.95 -8.9%Oct 30, 2025
StephensReed Seay$173$129.38 +20.3%Oct 30, 2025
UBSThomas Wadewitz$177$129.38 +23.1%Oct 30, 2025
Raymond JamesPatrick Brown$161$129.38 +11.9%Oct 30, 2025
BMO CapitalFadi Chamoun$140$129.38 -2.7%Oct 30, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$150$125.57 +4.3%Oct 14, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$158$124.39 +9.9%Oct 14, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$144$128.9 +0.1%Oct 10, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$166$135 +15.4%Oct 3, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$130$132.66 -9.6%Oct 2, 2025
Deutsche BankRicha Harnain$159$132.66 +10.6%Oct 1, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$155$131.87 +7.8%Sep 30, 2025
SusquehannaBascome Majors$160$133.3 +11.3%Sep 24, 2025
SusquehannaBascome Majors$165$132.44 +14.7%Sep 24, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$133$97.65 -7.5%Jul 31, 2025
BarclaysBrandon Oglenski$95$97.65 -33.9%Jul 31, 2025
Raymond JamesDavid Hicks$111$97.06 -22.8%Jul 15, 2025
SusquehannaBascome Majors$117$101.66 -18.6%Mar 26, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$129$102.45 -10.3%Mar 7, 2025
Raymond JamesDavid Hicks$123$101.76 -14.5%Jan 10, 2025
SusquehannaBascome Majors$130$104.05 -9.6%Jan 3, 2025
Wells FargoChristian Wetherbee$130$108.14 -9.6%Dec 9, 2024
BMO CapitalFadi Chamoun$115$109.64 -20.0%Oct 31, 2024
UBSThomas Wadewitz$140$105.5 -2.7%Oct 4, 2024
Robert W. BairdBenjamin Hartford$115$110.04 -20.0%Oct 1, 2024
SusquehannaBascome Majors$120$108.02 -16.6%Sep 26, 2024
BarclaysBrandon Oglenski$75$102.21 -47.9%Aug 2, 2024
Robert W. BairdGarrett Holland$100$89.05 -30.5%Aug 1, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesKen Hoexter$99$90.19 -31.2%Jul 22, 2024
J.P. MorganBrian Ossenbeck$87$87.6 -39.5%Jul 9, 2024
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$99$88.49 -31.2%Jun 25, 2024
UBSThomas Wadewitz$90$87.64 -37.4%Jun 6, 2024
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$80$82.66 -44.4%May 21, 2024
BMO CapitalFadi Chamoun$85$80.93 -40.9%May 3, 2024
HSBCAlexandre Falcao$138$75.31 -4.0%Mar 14, 2024
CFRAStewart Glickman$95$81.43 -33.9%Nov 2, 2023
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$86$104.28 -40.2%Feb 2, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$87$103.96 -39.5%Feb 2, 2023
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$85$101.98 -40.9%Feb 2, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$64$102.12 -55.5%Feb 2, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$95$102.12 -33.9%Feb 2, 2023
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$92$102.12 -36.0%Feb 2, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$90$92.8 -37.4%Jan 11, 2023
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$93$93.36 -35.3%Jan 10, 2023
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$90$93.31 -37.4%Jan 9, 2023
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$93$90.28 -35.3%Jan 4, 2023
UBSAnalyst unavailable$81$90.28 -43.7%Jan 4, 2023
BNP ParibasRobert Joynson$128$97.41 -11.0%Nov 30, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$67$98.02 -53.4%Oct 3, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$66$107.99 -54.1%Jul 28, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$94$101.13 -34.6%Jul 28, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$93$95.57 -35.3%Jul 15, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$120$109.56 -16.6%Apr 28, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$120$108.92 -16.6%Apr 28, 2022
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$107$108.9 -25.6%Apr 28, 2022
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$115$107.94 -20.0%Apr 28, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$110$102.83 -23.5%Apr 28, 2022
BarclaysBrandon Oglenski$100$89.08 -30.5%Feb 3, 2022
CitigroupChristian Wetherbee$180$89.08 +25.2%Feb 3, 2022
Morgan StanleyRavi Shanker$62$89.08 -56.9%Feb 3, 2022
KeyBancTodd Fowler$125$89.08 -13.1%Feb 3, 2022
UBSThomas Wadewitz$94$89.08 -34.6%Feb 3, 2022
BMO CapitalFadi Chamoun$105$89.08 -27.0%Feb 3, 2022
Benchmark Co.Christopher Kuhn$125$102.27 -13.1%Jan 27, 2022
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$117$107.4 -18.6%Jan 11, 2022
SusquehannaBascome Majors$93$87.07 -35.3%Jul 28, 2021
Goldman SachsJordan Alliger$108$96.95 -24.9%Jun 7, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. serves as a global provider of diverse freight transportation and logistics solutions, assisting companies across numerous industries. The organization's business operations are segmented into two key areas: North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. Its comprehensive range of services spans various shipping modalities. This includes brokerage for both full truckload (FTL) and less-than-truckload (LTL) freight, managing everything from single-pallet shipments to full container loads. C.H. Robinson also coordinates intermodal transport, which involves moving goods in containers or trailers through a combination of truck and rail networks, in addition to acting as a non-vessel operating common carrier (NVOCC) for ocean freight and arranging air cargo shipments. The company consistently provides end-to-end door-to-door delivery services.…

Historical context

All CHRW earnings

Industrials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
FAST Fastenal Company FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.3% +1.1% Fastenal Q3: Share Gains and Digital Adoption Lift Growth

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T08:50:44.207573+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T08:50:44.203947+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.