C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. · CHRW · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

C.H. Robinson pairs operating-model gains with focused portfolio

C.H. Robinson's Q2 2024 analysis supports a measured case that operating-model changes, productivity work and digital tools are improving execution despite weak freight conditions. The evidence is constructive, but sustaining AGP gains without stronger market tailwinds remains an open question.

Reported After market closeNASDAQIndustrials $16.20B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.15 Consensus $0.96
EPS surprise +19.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.48B Consensus $4.53B
Revenue surprise -1.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +14.8% Event window
SPY move -1.4% Same window
Abnormal move +16.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.8% Up to 20 sessions
CHRWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted continued operating-model progress, a fourth consecutive quarter of truckload market-share growth, higher adjusted operating income, the European Surface Transportation sale, and broader use of Digital Dispatch and GenAI tools.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis identifies no change in guidance sentiment.

Key takeaways

  • The Robinson operating model was associated with stronger execution discipline, margin expansion and market-share gains.
  • Truckload market share grew for the fourth consecutive quarter, while adjusted operating income increased 32% year over year.
  • Digital Dispatch and GenAI tools are intended to improve speed and efficiency; headcount was down 10% year over year.
  • The sale of European Surface Transportation sharpens focus on truckload, LTL, ocean and air.

Management priorities

  • Deepen the Robinson operating model across divisions.
  • Expand Digital Dispatch and GenAI capabilities.
  • Focus on the four core modes and evaluate further portfolio optimization.
  • Provide detailed strategic and financial targets at the December 12 Investor Day.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CHRW REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $5B Q2 '24 actual $4B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $5B Q3 '24 actual $5B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish2351.1%
Neutral1840.0%
Bearish48.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$140.44Current
$62Low
$161.37Average
$237High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 16, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 8, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $140.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$160$144.16 +13.9%Oct 16, 2026
Raymond JamesDavid Hicks$170$141.38 +21.0%Oct 15, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$153$142.31 +8.9%Oct 12, 2026
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$209$135.18 +48.8%Oct 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$200$134.44 +42.4%Oct 7, 2026
See 115 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. serves as a global provider of diverse freight transportation and logistics solutions, assisting companies across numerous industries. The organization's business operations are segmented into two key areas: North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. Its comprehensive range of services spans various shipping modalities. This includes brokerage for both full truckload (FTL) and less-than-truckload (LTL) freight, managing everything from single-pallet shipments to full container loads. C.H. Robinson also coordinates intermodal transport, which involves moving goods in containers or trailers through a combination of truck and rail networks, in addition to acting as a non-vessel operating common carrier (NVOCC) for ocean freight and arranging air cargo shipments. The company consistently provides end-to-end door-to-door delivery services.…

Historical context

All CHRW earnings

Industrials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +0.6% -2.0% J.B. Hunt: Strong demand, but margin repair remains central
FAST Fastenal Company FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.3% +1.1% Fastenal Q3: Share Gains and Digital Adoption Lift Growth

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T13:20:46.536635+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T13:20:46.533842+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.