Conagra Brands, Inc. · CAG · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2024

Conagra sees volume recovery, but inflation and FX pressure margins

The quarter showed evidence of volume and share recovery in frozen and snacks, but the investment case remains balanced by inflation, foreign-exchange and price-mix pressures. Management is relying on brand investment, portfolio reshaping, cash generation and debt reduction to support the longer-term plan.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $6.44B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.68
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.15B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.0% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -2.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.6% Up to 20 sessions
CAGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reported volume recovery and market-share gains, but said inflation relief is expected later and that a stronger dollar will weigh on the second half. Guidance was revised, while debt reduction and portfolio reshaping remained priorities.

Guidance delta

Management revised guidance to flat to -1.5% organic net sales, adjusted operating margin of about 14.8%, and EPS of $2.45-$2.50.

Key takeaways

  • Frozen meals and snacks drove volume recovery and market-share gains.
  • Management said higher inflation and a stronger dollar will pressure second-half profitability.
  • Debt reduction remains a priority, with leverage expected to move toward 3.0x by fiscal 2026.
  • Brand building and targeted promotions remain central to the operating plan.

Management priorities

  • Invest in brands and targeted promotions.
  • Focus the portfolio on frozen and snack categories.
  • Continue debt reduction toward a 3.0x net leverage target by fiscal 2026.
  • Use free cash flow to support strategic initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CAG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $3B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $3B Q1 '25 actual $3B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, match Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 actual $3B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q1 '27 actual $3B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $3B Q3 '27 estimate $3B Q4 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish625.0%
Neutral1458.3%
Bearish416.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$13.25Current
$12Low
$23.78Average
$43High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 1, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainOct 1, 2026
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainSep 18, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $13.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$14$13.46 +5.7%Oct 1, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$13$14.16 -1.9%Sep 29, 2026
Deutsche BankSteve Powers$13$15.12 -1.9%Sep 18, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$12.5$14.61 -5.7%Sep 14, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$14$14.44 +5.7%Jul 16, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Conagra Brands, Inc., a prominent manufacturer of packaged food products, conducts its business across North America through its various subsidiary companies. The firm organizes its extensive operations into four distinct segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks division primarily distributes non-perishable food items through various retail channels within the United States. In contrast, the Refrigerated & Frozen segment focuses on supplying temperature-sensitive food products to comparable U.S. retail outlets.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-12-05T00:03:44.862429+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T19:00:43.469768+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T19:00:43.467081+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.