Blackstone Inc. · BX · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Blackstone: Strong inflows, private-credit growth, tariff risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating narrative for Blackstone: strong inflows, expanding private credit, private-wealth distribution and substantial dry powder provide growth support. The counterweight is execution and macro risk, especially deployment timing, tariff exposure, credit quality, realizations and fundraising.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $136.94B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.22
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.95B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.8% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +12.5% Up to 20 sessions
BXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The analysis highlights record inflows, higher AUM, rapid private-credit expansion, a new Wellington-Vanguard alliance, the planned BMACX launch and the sale of Bistro to Clearwater Analytics. It also emphasizes tariff uncertainty and continued DPI, fundraising, regulatory and credit-quality concerns.

Guidance delta

No guidance change was provided in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • The analysis describes record Q1 inflows of $62 billion and AUM of nearly $1.2 trillion.
  • Private-credit investment-grade assets were up 35% year over year, with $13 billion of new commitments in Q1.
  • Management highlighted tariff and policy uncertainty, while describing first-order exposure as limited and concentrated in real-estate construction costs.
  • A Wellington-Vanguard alliance is intended to broaden integrated public-private investment solutions.
  • The analysis cites $177 billion of dry powder available for opportunistic deployment.

Management priorities

  • Launch the BMACX perpetual credit strategy on May 1.
  • Expand private-wealth distribution through the Wellington-Vanguard alliance.
  • Continue fundraising for European real-estate and global private-equity drawdown funds.
  • Deploy dry powder toward digital infrastructure, energy and life sciences.
  • Monetize internal technology assets such as Bistro.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3B Q4 '23 actual $1B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $4B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy30 ratings
Bullish1963.3%
Neutral1033.3%
Bearish13.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$113.36Previous close
$85Low
$136.88Average
$184High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $113.36. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSMichael Brown$122$119.35 +7.6%Sep 23, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$150$127.66 +32.3%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$169$128.65 +49.1%Jul 24, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$140$126.03 +23.5%Jul 24, 2026
Goldman SachsAlexander Blostein$127$124.49 +12.0%Jul 24, 2026
See 71 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Blackstone Inc. operates as a prominent alternative asset manager, specializing in a broad spectrum of investment strategies. Its expertise encompasses real estate, private equity, credit solutions, comprehensive hedge fund offerings, public debt and equity, multi-asset class approaches, and secondary funds of funds. While often backing nascent businesses, the firm also extends its services to capital markets. Its real estate division targets diverse opportunities: high-potential opportunistic ventures, core-plus assets, and stable, income-generating commercial properties. Additionally, it engages in debt investments secured by commercial real estate. These activities span North America, Europe, and Asia. Blackstone's global private equity arm executes varied transactions, including substantial buyouts, mid-market acquisitions, special situations, and distressed mortgage loans.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-03T00:02:43.581688+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T07:50:44.801032+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T07:50:44.798748+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.