Blackstone Inc. · BX · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Blackstone highlights AI infrastructure and fundraising momentum

Blackstone’s analysis supports a constructive growth thesis centered on AI infrastructure, energy transition, fundraising, and new private-market products. The thesis remains dependent on financing conditions, valuations, realizations, and continued fee growth.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $126.11B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.26
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.27B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +8.4% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +9.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
BXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes $63 billion of inflows, roughly 7% AI-infrastructure exposure, NVIDIA-related GPU financing, a cooling-systems acquisition commitment, and continued expansion of BXHF and BXPM. Guidance sentiment remains maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management analysis points to double-digit base-management-fee growth and a strong trajectory toward 2027.

Key takeaways

  • Management analysis identifies $1.7 billion of distributable earnings and a $1.12 dividend for Q3.
  • Inflows reached $63 billion, taking 12-month cumulative commitments to a four-year high of $270 billion.
  • AI and data-center infrastructure, energy transition, and private-market distribution channels remain central growth drivers.
  • Management analysis says AI infrastructure represents roughly 7% of total assets.
  • Higher financing costs, real-estate valuation pressure, and maturing funds remain key watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Scale BXHF and the BXPM private-markets platform.
  • Raise capital for a credit, energy-transition, and infrastructure vehicle.
  • Complete drawdown-fund hard caps, including BTEP V and asset-based finance.
  • Continue AI-infrastructure investment, including larger integrated data-center sites.
  • Pursue the acquisition of a data-center cooling-system components supplier.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.95 Q4 '23 actual $1.11, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.96 Q1 '24 actual $0.98, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.98 Q2 '24 actual $0.96, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.10 Q2 '25 actual $1.21, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.23 Q3 '25 actual $1.52, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.54 Q4 '25 actual $1.75, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.34 Q1 '26 actual $1.36, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.34 Q2 '26 actual $1.52, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.26 Q4 '26 estimate $1.73 Q1 '27 estimate $1.58 Q2 '27 estimate $1.65

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy30 ratings
Bullish1963.3%
Neutral1033.3%
Bearish13.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$118.75Current
$85Low
$136.82Average
$184High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 19, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 13, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 8, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $118.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalBrennan Hawken$130$109.92 +9.5%Oct 21, 2026
Piper SandlerCrispin Love$125$106.63 +5.3%Oct 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$165$109.82 +38.9%Oct 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$124$111.8 +4.4%Oct 8, 2026
UBSMichael Brown$122$119.35 +2.7%Sep 23, 2026
See 75 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Blackstone Inc. operates as a prominent alternative asset manager, specializing in a broad spectrum of investment strategies. Its expertise encompasses real estate, private equity, credit solutions, comprehensive hedge fund offerings, public debt and equity, multi-asset class approaches, and secondary funds of funds. While often backing nascent businesses, the firm also extends its services to capital markets. Its real estate division targets diverse opportunities: high-potential opportunistic ventures, core-plus assets, and stable, income-generating commercial properties. Additionally, it engages in debt investments secured by commercial real estate. These activities span North America, Europe, and Asia. Blackstone's global private equity arm executes varied transactions, including substantial buyouts, mid-market acquisitions, special situations, and distressed mortgage loans.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-22T17:09:39.686607+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-22T01:23:13.354406+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-22T21:40:42.826571+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-22T21:40:42.823463+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.