Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV · BUD · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

AB InBev: Premium brands and digital growth offset softer volumes

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a qualified growth-through-premiumization thesis: premium and non-alcohol brands and BEES are growing, while declining volumes and weakness in China and Brazil leave the durability of earnings growth uncertain.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $159.55B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.98 Consensus $0.94
EPS surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $15.67B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -13.3% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -13.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.6% Up to 20 sessions
BUDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the supplied Q1 analysis, Q2 retained EBITDA growth and margin expansion but showed slower EBITDA growth (6.5% versus 7.9%) and a smaller volume decline (1.9% versus 2.2%). BEES GMV growth accelerated to 63% from 53%; non-alcohol revenue growth was 33% versus 34%. Management maintained its 2025 EBITDA growth outlook, according to the Q2 analysis.

Guidance delta

Guidance was maintained. The Q2 analysis says management remained confident in achieving its 2025 EBITDA growth target of 4–8%; it does not report a change to that range.

Key takeaways

  • EBITDA increased 6.5% with margin expansion despite a 1.9% volume decline, according to the supplied Q2 analysis.
  • Premium brands and non-alcohol offerings remained important growth drivers; non-alcohol beer revenue grew 33%.
  • BEES marketplace GMV grew 63% year over year to $785 million, according to the analysis.
  • Management expressed confidence in the 2025 EBITDA growth outlook, while volume weakness in China and Brazil remained a headwind.

Management priorities

  • Continue investment in megabrands, premium platforms, and innovations across core and beyond-beer categories.
  • Expand non-alcohol and low- or zero-sugar offerings, and scale BEES and direct-to-consumer channels.
  • Focus on off-trade execution in China and expand the footprint in India; use sports and cultural events for brand activation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BUD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 7 reported fiscal quarters and 1 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $30B, None Q1 '24 estimate $14B Q1 '24 actual $15B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $14B Q2 '24 actual $30B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $16B Q2 '25 actual $30B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $15B Q4 '25 actual $31B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $16B Q2 '26 actual $32B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $16B Q3 '26 actual $17B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $17B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy45 ratings
Bullish2657.8%
Neutral1737.8%
Bearish24.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$80.38Previous close
$63Low
$79.81Average
$100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 2, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 7, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $80.38. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoChris Carey$97$86.14 +20.7%Jul 31, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$84.5$80.25 +5.1%Jul 1, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$82$74.39 +2.0%Apr 8, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$100$79.4 +24.4%Feb 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$85$75.81 +5.7%Feb 9, 2026
See 8 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (AB InBev) is a global beverage giant involved in the manufacturing, marketing, and retailing of a wide variety of beers, other alcoholic drinks, and soft drinks across the world. The company manages an expansive collection of around 500 beer labels. Its most prominent and globally recognized brands include Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois. Additionally, its portfolio features well-known names such as Beck's, Hoegaarden, Leffe, and Michelob Ultra, alongside a host of other popular brands like Aguila, Antarctica, Bud Light, Brahma, Cass, Castle, Castle Lite, Cristal, Harbin, Jupiler, Modelo Especial, Quilmes, Victoria, Sedrin, and Skol. Established in 1366, AB InBev's corporate headquarters are situated in Leuven, Belgium.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T12:20:45.917119+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T12:20:45.914289+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.