Popular, Inc. · BPOP · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Popular maintains NII outlook as deposits and credit quality improve

Popular's Q1 evidence supports a constructive operating picture: earnings, net interest income, deposits and credit quality improved, while management maintained its NII outlook. The key test is whether deposit strength and margin progress persist after seasonal tax-refund activity, alongside modest loan growth.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $10.05B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.78 Consensus $3.30
EPS surprise +14.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $835.8M Consensus $849.7M
Revenue surprise -1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.7% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +1.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.1% Up to 20 sessions
BPOPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the company reported stronger near-term operating evidence: Q1 net income and EPS increased, NII rose, margin expanded, deposits reached $67.6 billion and the NPL ratio improved to 1.17%. Management maintained guidance and added emphasis on digital services, corporate cards and selective U.S. expansion.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance, reaffirming NII growth at the upper end of 5–7% and expecting modest loan growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management said Q1 net income was $246 million and EPS was $3.78.
  • Net interest income rose $13 million while net interest margin expanded 5 basis points.
  • Deposits reached $67.6 billion, supported by tax-refund activity and public deposits.
  • NPL ratio improved to 1.17%; management described charge-offs as stable.
  • The company highlighted its Mi Banco marketplace, corporate cards and selective expansion plans.

Management priorities

  • Expand the Mi Banco integrated marketplace and digital services
  • Roll out additional corporate credit card products
  • Grow the doctor, dentist and veterinarian financial program
  • Continue stock repurchases and consider dividend increases
  • Pursue selective U.S. M&A and team-acquisition opportunities

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BPOP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.12 Q2 '24 actual $2.46, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.31 Q3 '24 actual $2.16, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.54 Q2 '25 actual $3.09, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.95 Q3 '25 actual $3.14, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.02 Q4 '25 actual $3.38, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.30 Q1 '26 actual $3.78, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.72 Q2 '26 actual $4.35, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.98 Q3 '26 actual $4.21, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.88 Q1 '27 estimate $4.17 Q2 '27 estimate $4.36 Q3 '27 estimate $4.52
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy21 ratings
Bullish1885.7%
Neutral314.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$159.21Current
$92Low
$160.62Average
$201High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 30, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 22, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainAug 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 24, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainApr 24, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 31, 2018
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Outperform Market PerformUpgradeNov 28, 2017
BTIG Research Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 31, 2017
BTIG Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 31, 2017
Compass Point Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 18, 2016
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 8, 2016
Merion Capital Group Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 26, 2016
Stifel Nicolaus Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 3, 2015
Stifel Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 3, 2015
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 27, 2015
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeMar 23, 2015
Sterne Agee Buy BuyMaintainMar 3, 2015
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $159.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$195$156.3 +22.5%Sep 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$200$174.04 +25.6%Aug 10, 2026
Neuberger BermanBrandon Berman$181$171.98 +13.7%Jul 28, 2026
RBC CapitalGeorge Cassidy$181$170.88 +13.7%Jul 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$190$170.88 +19.3%Jul 24, 2026
Benchmark Co.Analyst unavailable$201$169 +26.3%Jul 15, 2026
Piper SandlerManuel Navas$190$167.19 +19.3%Jun 26, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$170$148.42 +6.8%Apr 24, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$142$141.47 -10.8%Feb 4, 2026
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$156$136.69 -2.0%Feb 3, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$152$126.21 -4.5%Jan 15, 2026
Truist FinancialArren Cyganovich$153$125.82 -3.9%Oct 9, 2025
RBC CapitalGeorge Cassidy$96$89.73 -39.7%Oct 24, 2024
BarclaysJared Shaw$104$89.73 -34.7%Oct 24, 2024
CitigroupBenjamin Gerlinger$123$102.15 -22.7%Jul 30, 2024
BarclaysJared Shaw$115$99.37 -27.8%Jul 25, 2024
UBSErika Najarian$92$86.78 -42.2%Apr 4, 2024
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$105$78.57 -34.0%Apr 27, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Popular, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, offers a broad spectrum of financial products and services encompassing retail, mortgage, and commercial banking. These operations extend across Puerto Rico, the United States, and the British Virgin Islands. The company provides various deposit options, including interest-bearing accounts such as savings, NOW, and money market accounts, alongside non-interest-bearing demand deposits and certificates of deposit. Its diverse lending activities include commercial and industrial financing, loans for multi-family and commercial real estate, and residential mortgage products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T13:00:42.627724+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T13:00:42.625004+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.