Popular, Inc. · BPOP · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
Popular maintains NII outlook as deposits and credit quality improve
Popular's Q1 evidence supports a constructive operating picture: earnings, net interest income, deposits and credit quality improved, while management maintained its NII outlook. The key test is whether deposit strength and margin progress persist after seasonal tax-refund activity, alongside modest loan growth.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior analysis, the company reported stronger near-term operating evidence: Q1 net income and EPS increased, NII rose, margin expanded, deposits reached $67.6 billion and the NPL ratio improved to 1.17%. Management maintained guidance and added emphasis on digital services, corporate cards and selective U.S. expansion.
Guidance delta
Management maintained guidance, reaffirming NII growth at the upper end of 5–7% and expecting modest loan growth.
Key takeaways
- Management said Q1 net income was $246 million and EPS was $3.78.
- Net interest income rose $13 million while net interest margin expanded 5 basis points.
- Deposits reached $67.6 billion, supported by tax-refund activity and public deposits.
- NPL ratio improved to 1.17%; management described charge-offs as stable.
- The company highlighted its Mi Banco marketplace, corporate cards and selective expansion plans.
Management priorities
- Expand the Mi Banco integrated marketplace and digital services
- Roll out additional corporate credit card products
- Grow the doctor, dentist and veterinarian financial program
- Continue stock repurchases and consider dividend increases
- Pursue selective U.S. M&A and team-acquisition opportunities
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 22, 2026 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 31, 2018 |
| Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Nov 28, 2017 |
| BTIG Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Oct 31, 2017 |
| BTIG | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Oct 31, 2017 |
| Compass Point | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 18, 2016 |
| PiperJaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 8, 2016 |
| Merion Capital Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 26, 2016 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2015 |
| Stifel | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2015 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 27, 2015 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Mar 23, 2015 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 3, 2015 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $157.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $195 | $156.3 | +23.5% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $200 | $174.04 | +26.6% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Neuberger Berman | Brandon Berman | $181 | $171.98 | +14.6% | Jul 28, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | George Cassidy | $181 | $170.88 | +14.6% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $190 | $170.88 | +20.3% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Benchmark Co. | Analyst unavailable | $201 | $169 | +27.3% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Manuel Navas | $190 | $167.19 | +20.3% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $148.42 | +7.6% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $142 | $141.47 | -10.1% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $156 | $136.69 | -1.2% | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $152 | $126.21 | -3.7% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Arren Cyganovich | $153 | $125.82 | -3.1% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | George Cassidy | $96 | $89.73 | -39.2% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Barclays | Jared Shaw | $104 | $89.73 | -34.1% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Benjamin Gerlinger | $123 | $102.15 | -22.1% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Barclays | Jared Shaw | $115 | $99.37 | -27.2% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| UBS | Erika Najarian | $92 | $86.78 | -41.7% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $78.57 | -33.5% | Apr 27, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationPopular, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, offers a broad spectrum of financial products and services encompassing retail, mortgage, and commercial banking. These operations extend across Puerto Rico, the United States, and the British Virgin Islands. The company provides various deposit options, including interest-bearing accounts such as savings, NOW, and money market accounts, alongside non-interest-bearing demand deposits and certificates of deposit. Its diverse lending activities include commercial and industrial financing, loans for multi-family and commercial real estate, and residential mortgage products.…
Historical context
All BPOP earningsFinancial Services peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| BX Blackstone Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +4.8% | +8.4% | Blackstone Q3 Earnings: AI Infrastructure Drives Growth, Risks Remain |
| HBANM Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -5.3% | +0.5% | Huntington Maintains 2027 Outlook as Fees and Synergies Grow |
| HBAN Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +9.1% | -0.4% | HBAN maintains outlook as fee growth and credit quality support execution |
| HBANP Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -5.3% | 0.0% | Huntington maintains EPS outlook as fees grow and credit stays solid |
| HBANL Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -5.3% | +0.5% | Huntington maintains 2027 targets as fees and new markets support growth |
| NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.0% | +7.5% | Nasdaq Q3: AI, cloud and market infrastructure sustain growth |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- DECKFY2027 Q2 · October 22, 2026+13.4% EPS-0.2% move
- OMCFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+2.2% EPS+2.6% move
- SSNCFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+0.6% EPS+2.8% move
- BEFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+36.0% EPS-8.7% move
- ROPFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+1.7% EPS+9.7% move
- BPOPFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+5.8% EPS-2.8% move
Missed on EPS
- SNAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.9% EPS-3.4% move
- SPOTFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-11.6% EPS+11.1% move
- VRSNFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-2.0% EPS-0.9% move
- HBANMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
- HBANPFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS0.0% move
- PCGFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-0.8% EPS-1.3% move
Get the BPOP recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T13:00:42.627724+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T13:00:42.625004+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.