Builders FirstSource, Inc. · BLDR · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

BLDR: Resilience Holds, Housing and Margin Risks Remain

The supplied analysis supports a balanced view: value-added products, digital adoption, install services, productivity and acquisitions provide operating support, but housing softness and margin-sensitive inputs leave the case dependent on execution and market conditions.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $5.69B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.18
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.90B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.3% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.8% Up to 20 sessions
BLDRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management continued to emphasize the same value-added, digital, install-services and M&A growth drivers, while the latest analysis adds higher planned capex and an ERP rollout. The risk discussion remains centered on housing demand, affordability, rates, commodities, tariffs, labor policy and weather.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its 2025 guidance framework; the supplied analysis does not identify a revision versus the prior discussion.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted value-added products, digital adoption, install services, acquisitions and productivity as growth drivers.
  • The 2025 outlook assumes flat single-family activity and continued multifamily pressure, with adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.5%–13%.
  • The latest analysis points to stronger capital investment and continued acquisition activity, while affordability, rates, commodities, tariffs and weather remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Advance ERP implementation and digital-platform enhancements
  • Invest in value-added capacity and install services
  • Pursue strategic acquisitions and maintain disciplined share repurchases

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BLDR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.30 Q1 '24 actual $2.65, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.02 Q2 '24 actual $3.50, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.98 Q3 '24 actual $3.07, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.35 Q2 '25 actual $2.38, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.75 Q3 '25 actual $1.88, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.30 Q4 '25 actual $1.12, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.39 Q1 '26 actual $0.27, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.25 Q2 '26 actual $1.17, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.06 Q4 '26 estimate $1.01 Q1 '27 estimate $0.69
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold44 ratings
Bullish2250.0%
Neutral2147.7%
Bearish12.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$52.85Previous close
$62Low
$109.79Average
$230High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 7, 2026
StoneX Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $52.85. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialKeuth Hughes$70$53.55 +32.5%Oct 8, 2026
RBC CapitalMike Dahl$62$56.22 +17.3%Oct 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$85$55.07 +60.8%Oct 1, 2026
Stifel NicolausAndrew Carter$65$56.76 +23.0%Sep 18, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$63$58.97 +19.2%Sep 11, 2026
See 60 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Builders FirstSource, Inc. engages in the supply and manufacture of building materials, manufactured components, and construction services to professional homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers, and consumers. Its products include factory-built roof and floor trusses, wall panels and stairs, vinyl windows, custom millwork and trim, and engineered wood. The company was founded by Kevin P. O'Meara, Donald F. McAleenan and John D. Roach in March 1998 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

Historical context

All BLDR earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
RPM RPM International Inc. FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 +1.5% +3.2% RPM posts record quarter, but input costs narrow the outlook

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-13T13:00:00.388356+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T08:30:45.222591+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T08:30:45.219377+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.