Booking Holdings Inc. · BKNG · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Booking Holdings: strong travel growth, AI execution remains the test

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: resilient travel demand and expanding product capabilities provide support, while AI execution, competitive pressure and uncertain U.S. demand are the key tests of durability.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $122.14B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $17.00
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.58B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.9% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +3.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.9% Up to 20 sessions
BKNGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds stronger evidence of scale in the quarter, including room nights above 300 million, 12% year-over-year alternative-accommodation growth and 45% year-over-year flight-booking growth. Management also highlighted partnerships with OpenAI, Microsoft, Amazon Alexa+ and Uber.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance sentiment, while widening guidance ranges to reflect uncertainty.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted strong room-night and booking growth, with revenue and adjusted EBITDA above the high end of guidance.
  • Alternative accommodations, flights, direct bookings and mobile usage remained important growth areas.
  • AI initiatives and the Connected Trip strategy are central to the next phase, but execution and demand uncertainty remain relevant risks.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI capabilities across Booking.com, KAYAK.ai and partner tools.
  • Develop the Connected Trip ecosystem across flights, attractions, dining and ground transport.
  • Expand alternative accommodations and the Genius program while pursuing the transformation program's planned savings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BKNG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $8B Q3 '24 actual $8B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $7B Q2 '25 actual $7B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $9B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $6B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $7B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $10B Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '27 estimate $6B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy71 ratings
Bullish4664.8%
Neutral2535.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$155.87Current
$86.84Low
$196.38Average
$309.84High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 24, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 24, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 66 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $155.87. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialGregory Miller$216$162.34 +38.6%Sep 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$230$171.32 +47.6%Sep 16, 2026
BernsteinRichard Clarke$188$210.48 +20.6%Aug 26, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Mahaney$270$214.39 +73.2%Aug 24, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$245$210.21 +57.2%Aug 10, 2026
See 136 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Booking Holdings Inc. is a leading global provider of online travel and dining reservation services. The company manages a portfolio of well-known digital platforms. Among these, Booking.com specializes in online accommodation bookings, while Rentalcars.com is dedicated to facilitating vehicle rentals. Priceline offers a comprehensive range of online travel booking options, encompassing hotels, flights, rental cars, vacation packages, and cruises, alongside hotel distribution services. Agoda also provides online lodging reservations, further expanding into flights, ground transportation, and activity bookings.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-15T00:03:42.498162+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T22:30:42.161764+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T22:30:42.158685+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.