Booking Holdings Inc. · BKNG · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Booking Holdings: Resilient demand, AI rollout and higher savings target

The quarter supports a resilient-demand thesis: Booking Holdings exceeded the high end of guidance, while Connected Trip, loyalty and merchant payments strengthened the platform. The longer-term case still depends on scaling AI and managing geopolitical, SEO and cost risks.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $130.58B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.54 Consensus $2.43
EPS surprise +4.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.35B Consensus $7.19B
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.8% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -1.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.7% Up to 20 sessions
BKNGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Connected Trip transactions grew at a low-double-digit rate and now represent a low-double-digit share of bookings. Management identified another $100 million of annual run-rate savings, lifting the target to $650 million; LLM traffic remains below 1% of room nights.

Guidance delta

Management said Q2 surpassed the high end of guidance and reaffirmed its long-term outlook; no new numeric guidance change is supplied here.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 exceeded the high end of guidance despite Middle East headwinds.
  • Connected Trip transactions grew at a low-double-digit rate and reached a low-double-digit share of bookings.
  • Management raised its annual run-rate savings target to $650 million, while AI-powered discovery remains early.

Management priorities

  • Scale Connected Trip, Penny and AI-powered discovery.
  • Invest in product, supply and brand in the United States and Asia.
  • Integrate B2B operations and pursue transformation savings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BKNG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $14.09 Q1 '24 actual $20.39, beat Q2 '24 estimate $38.37 Q2 '24 actual $41.90, beat Q3 '24 estimate $77.52 Q3 '24 actual $83.89, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.01 Q2 '25 actual $2.22, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.83 Q3 '25 actual $3.98, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.95 Q4 '25 actual $1.95, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.08 Q1 '26 actual $1.14, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.43 Q2 '26 actual $2.54, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.48 Q4 '26 estimate $2.33 Q1 '27 estimate $1.41
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy71 ratings
Bullish4664.8%
Neutral2535.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$168.52Previous close
$86.84Low
$196.09Average
$309.84High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 27, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 24, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 66 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $168.52. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$230$171.32 +36.5%Sep 16, 2026
BernsteinRichard Clarke$188$210.48 +11.6%Aug 26, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Mahaney$270$214.39 +60.2%Aug 24, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$245$210.21 +45.4%Aug 10, 2026
SusquehannaShyam Patil$240$207.02 +42.4%Aug 6, 2026
See 135 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Booking Holdings Inc. is a leading global provider of online travel and dining reservation services. The company manages a portfolio of well-known digital platforms. Among these, Booking.com specializes in online accommodation bookings, while Rentalcars.com is dedicated to facilitating vehicle rentals. Priceline offers a comprehensive range of online travel booking options, encompassing hotels, flights, rental cars, vacation packages, and cruises, alongside hotel distribution services. Agoda also provides online lodging reservations, further expanding into flights, ground transportation, and activity bookings.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-07T20:10:59.618998+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T08:40:52.361769+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T08:40:52.358982+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.