Best Buy Co., Inc. · BBY · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Best Buy Maintains Outlook While Building New Digital Profit Streams

The call supports a measured version of the growth thesis: resilient computing demand and new digital profit streams provide support, but tariff exposure and consumer sensitivity limit confidence in the trajectory.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $18.48B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.39
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -13.3% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -12.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.1% Up to 20 sessions
BBYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the outlook moved from lowered to maintained, while the emphasis shifted toward Marketplace, Ads, AI-powered search, and digital engagement as incremental growth and profit drivers.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its FY26 outlook, while identifying tariffs and consumer pressure as risks to execution.

Key takeaways

  • Management emphasized computing replacement demand, AI-enabled features, and digital engagement as growth drivers.
  • Marketplace, Best Buy Ads, and AI-powered search broaden the company’s digital monetization efforts.
  • Tariffs, inflation, housing weakness, and competition remain important execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Launch and scale Best Buy Marketplace and Best Buy Ads
  • Improve digital discovery through AI search and personalized experiences
  • Invest in stores, associate labor, and vendor-supported training

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BBY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $2.52 Q4 '24 actual $2.72, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.08 Q1 '25 actual $1.20, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.16 Q2 '25 actual $1.34, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.21 Q2 '26 actual $1.28, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.31 Q3 '26 actual $1.40, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.46 Q4 '26 actual $2.61, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.23 Q1 '27 actual $1.28, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.39 Q2 '27 actual $1.47, beat Q3 '27 estimate $1.40 Q4 '27 estimate $2.56
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold40 ratings
Bullish1127.5%
Neutral2357.5%
Bearish615.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$87.7Previous close
$60Low
$90.54Average
$147High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 29, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 8, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 28, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 28, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $87.7. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$95$82.77 +8.3%Aug 28, 2026
Morgan StanleySimeon Gutman$90$83.56 +2.6%Aug 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$90$83.56 +2.6%Aug 28, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$95$83.56 +8.3%Aug 28, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$71$83.56 -19.0%Aug 28, 2026
See 87 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Best Buy Co., Inc. operates as a prominent technology retailer across the United States and Canada. Its business structure is segmented into Domestic and International operations. The company's extensive product selection includes a wide array of computing devices such as desktops, notebooks, and associated peripherals, alongside mobile phones (which generate commissions from network carriers), networking equipment, and tablets (including e-readers). Customers can also find smartwatches and various consumer electronics, encompassing digital imaging devices, health and fitness gadgets, home theater systems, portable audio solutions (like headphones and speakers), and smart home products. Beyond electronics, Best Buy also supplies household appliances such as dishwashers, laundry machines, ovens, refrigerators, blenders, coffee makers, and vacuum cleaners.…

Historical context

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Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-18T00:03:22.802274+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T05:56:06.477742+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T05:56:06.474735+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.