Credicorp Ltd. · BAP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Credicorp raises ROE target as digital growth supports Q2 outlook

Credicorp's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: management linked stronger loan growth and digital monetization to higher medium-term ROE ambitions. The thesis remains exposed to credit-cost pressure, El Niño, and regional macroeconomic risks.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $30.34B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.29 Consensus $7.31
EPS surprise -0.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.85B Consensus $1.82B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.0% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +3.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.7% Up to 20 sessions
BAPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management moved from maintaining its outlook to raising the 2026 loan-growth outlook to approximately 12% and lifting the medium-term ROE target to approximately 22%. El Niño risk was quantified through $106 million of additional provisions, while Yape's user base and lending activity continued to expand.

Guidance delta

Management raised the 2026 loan-growth outlook to approximately 12%, lifted the medium-term ROE target from 19.5% to approximately 22%, and forecast fee-income growth in the high teens.

Key takeaways

  • Management characterized Q2 as strong, with 20.3% ROE and accelerated loan growth.
  • The medium-term ROE target rose to approximately 22%, reflecting management's view of structural and digital improvements.
  • Management disclosed $106 million of additional El Niño provisions and said the risk is not expected to affect full-year guidance.
  • Yape exceeded 16 million monthly active users, while loan balances grew fourfold year over year.

Management priorities

  • Scale Yape lending and increase credit penetration among users.
  • Develop the innovation portfolio, including Tenpo and Culqi, to expand fee income.
  • Continue investing in technology, data, and talent to improve operating leverage.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BAP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.82 Q4 '23 actual $2.80, miss Q1 '24 estimate $4.43 Q1 '24 actual $5.06, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4.75 Q2 '24 actual $4.49, miss Q3 '24 estimate $4.57 Q3 '24 actual $5.08, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5.93 Q2 '25 actual $6.43, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.29 Q3 '25 actual $6.28, match Q4 '25 estimate $6.50 Q4 '25 actual $5.88, miss Q1 '26 estimate $6.92 Q1 '26 actual $7.65, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7.31 Q2 '26 actual $7.29, miss Q3 '26 estimate $25.45 Q4 '26 estimate $24.67 Q1 '27 estimate $27.17 Q2 '27 estimate $28.39
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy14 ratings
Bullish964.3%
Neutral535.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$389.13Current
$154Low
$323.71Average
$480High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 16, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeJun 17, 2026
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeMay 19, 2026
Show 9 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $389.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSThiago Batista$473$368.98 +21.6%Aug 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyJorge Kuri$480$364.28 +23.4%Jun 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$412$342.85 +5.9%May 26, 2026
HSBCCarlos Gomez-Lopez$350$303.86 -10.1%May 19, 2026
UBSThiago Batista$408$340.01 +4.8%Apr 21, 2026
See 5 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Credicorp Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services and products in Peru, Bermuda, Colombia, Bolivia, Panama, Chile, the United States, the Cayman Islands, and Mexico. It operates through Universal Banking; Insurance, Medical Services, and Pensions; Microfinance; and Investment Management and Advisory segments. The company grants various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities; and various deposits and current accounts. It also issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transport, marine vessels, automobiles, life, health, and pensions; provides medical and health services, as well as management services of private pension funds to the affiliates.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-14T16:12:37.263293+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-18T01:23:15.369793+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T14:30:53.228320+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T14:30:53.225381+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.