Credicorp Ltd. · BAP · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025
Credicorp raises ROE outlook as digital lending expands
The current analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: resilient profitability, retail loan growth and expanding digital platforms are supporting Credicorp's outlook. The main test is whether Yape-led lending can scale without materially worsening credit costs or efficiency, particularly after the SUNAT cash outflow.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management moved from maintained guidance to a higher ROE outlook. Yape's reported reach and lending contribution increased, while the SUNAT payment and no extraordinary dividend added a clearer liquidity constraint.
Guidance delta
Management raised full-year ROE guidance to about 19% and lifted its sustainable ROE target to 19.5%.
Key takeaways
- Q2 performance included 20.7% ROE, record risk-adjusted NIM and a 44.2% efficiency ratio.
- Yape reached 15 million monthly active users and is becoming a larger revenue contributor through lending.
- Management expects cost of risk to rise modestly as higher-yield portfolios are originated.
- The SUNAT payment reduced cash flexibility; no extraordinary dividend is planned this year.
Management priorities
- Scale Yape lending, including multi-installment and SME products.
- Continue expanding Tenpo and other digital banking services.
- Invest in AI-driven personalization, chatbots and risk-adjusted NIM tools.
- Maintain retail-focused loan growth and use the October 9 Investor Day to detail the future finance platform.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 20, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Jun 17, 2026 |
| HSBC | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 19, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 20, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | Jul 7, 2023 |
| Itau BBA | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jan 3, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 19, 2022 |
| Santander | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 23, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 7, 2020 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 15, 2016 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 15, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $385.14. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Thiago Batista | $473 | $368.98 | +22.8% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jorge Kuri | $480 | $364.28 | +24.6% | Jun 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $412 | $342.85 | +7.0% | May 26, 2026 |
| HSBC | Carlos Gomez-Lopez | $350 | $303.86 | -9.1% | May 19, 2026 |
| UBS | Thiago Batista | $408 | $340.01 | +5.9% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| UBS | Thiago Batista | $318 | $267.1 | -17.4% | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jorge Kuri | $195 | $185 | -49.4% | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ernesto Gabilondo | $190 | $185 | -50.7% | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Bradesco | Gustavo Schroden | $207 | $161.88 | -46.3% | Apr 18, 2024 |
| BTG Pactual | Alonso Aramburu | $154 | $129.38 | -60.0% | Sep 9, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationCredicorp Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services and products in Peru, Bermuda, Colombia, Bolivia, Panama, Chile, the United States, the Cayman Islands, and Mexico. It operates through Universal Banking; Insurance, Medical Services, and Pensions; Microfinance; and Investment Management and Advisory segments. The company grants various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities; and various deposits and current accounts. It also issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transport, marine vessels, automobiles, life, health, and pensions; provides medical and health services, as well as management services of private pension funds to the affiliates.…
Historical context
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| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.9% | -2.8% | CIBC Q3: Broad growth, resilient credit and expanded AI rollout |
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +13.8% | +1.4% | TD emphasizes growth investments alongside disciplined capital management |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +6.2% | -1.3% | RBC reports record Q3 earnings while investing for growth |
| AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1230.3% | +0.3% | Affirm's most profitable quarter shifts focus to product execution |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- ACNFY2026 Q4 · October 1, 2026+3.5% EPS+15.8% move
- MKCFY2026 Q3 · October 1, 2026+13.9% EPS-4.9% move
- NKEFY2027 Q1 · October 1, 2026+10.0% EPS-0.7% move
- CAGFY2027 Q1 · September 30, 2026+44.4% EPS-4.9% move
- FDSFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+3.9% EPS+3.8% move
- JBLFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+8.1% EPS-10.0% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T20:20:43.788985+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T20:20:43.785080+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.