Barrick Mining Corporation · B · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Barrick posts strong Q2 as projects advance and Mali risk persists

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: stronger earnings, lower costs, and advancing Tier 1 projects improve the growth case, but the outlook still depends on execution, power availability, permitting, commodity prices, and the Mali arbitration.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $67.02B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.47 Consensus $0.47
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.73B Consensus $3.65B
Revenue surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.5% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -2.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +27.7% Up to 20 sessions
BSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied current analysis emphasizes stronger Q2 earnings, falling all-in sustaining costs, continued shareholder returns, and progress on Fourmile, Lumwana, and Reko Diq. The Mali arbitration remains a central risk.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis reports no change in guidance sentiment.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis describes Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.47, the strongest in over a decade, with lower all-in sustaining costs.
  • Strong cash generation supported a $0.15 dividend and continued buybacks, according to the analysis.
  • Fourmile, the Lumwana expansion, and Reko Diq financing remain central to the growth plan.

Management priorities

  • Advance Fourmile, Lumwana, and Reko Diq growth projects.
  • Continue cost-reduction initiatives and exploration across key regions.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation, including buybacks and the performance dividend.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
B REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $428M Q1 '24 actual $431M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $396M Q2 '24 actual $382M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $402M Q3 '24 actual $388M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $6B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $6B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish1666.7%
Neutral833.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$40.72Current
$38Low
$48.25Average
$57High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 9, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $40.72. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinBob Brackett$56.5$44.1 +38.8%Sep 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$42$41.24 +3.1%Aug 13, 2026
ScotiabankTanya Jakusconek$55$41.09 +35.1%Aug 12, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$57$41 +40.0%Aug 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$39$35.89 -4.2%Jul 15, 2026
See 33 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Barrick Mining Corporation primarily focuses on the entire lifecycle of mineral assets, from their initial discovery and subsequent development to their extraction and eventual sale. The company actively explores for a variety of commodities, including precious metals like gold and silver, industrial metals such as copper, and other materials used for energy production. Previously identified as Barrick Gold Corporation, the organization officially adopted its current name, Barrick Mining Corporation, in May 2025. The company was founded in 1983 and has its corporate headquarters situated in Toronto, Canada.

Historical context

All B earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
RPM RPM International Inc. FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 — +1.6% RPM posts record Q1 results as inflation pressures margins
HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 0.0% -6.2% Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T01:20:40.878849+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T01:20:40.875760+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.