Barrick Mining Corporation · B · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Barrick’s Q3: stronger earnings, but production and cost risks remain

The supplied analysis supports a balanced view: stronger earnings, cash flow, higher gold prices, and advancing growth assets provide support, but low-end production guidance, sustaining-cost pressure, safety issues, and project and regulatory risks temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $62.77B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.09 Consensus $0.39
EPS surprise -76.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $387.8M Consensus $401.5M
Revenue surprise -3.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.4% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.2% Up to 20 sessions
BSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes stronger adjusted earnings and cash flow, continued progress on growth assets, and a shift toward growth capital spending. It also adds greater focus on low-end production guidance, mine-grade pressure, safety, and sustaining-cost risks.

Guidance delta

Maintained; production guidance remains within the range but at its lower end.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted a 33% rise in adjusted EPS and strong free cash flow.
  • Higher gold prices and cost discipline supported profitability, while annual production guidance stayed at the low end of the range.
  • Growth projects across Pueblo Viejo, Lumwana, Reko Diq, and Nevada advanced, alongside safety and closure-liability priorities.
  • The main watchpoints are sustaining capital expenditure, mine grades, labor inflation, project execution, and regulatory exposure.

Management priorities

  • Advance Pueblo Viejo recovery and throughput plans.
  • Progress Fourmile, Reko Diq, Lumwana, and Nevada growth projects.
  • Reduce closure liabilities and strengthen operating safety.
  • Invest in automation, mobile fleets, tailings infrastructure, and renewable-energy projects.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
B REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $428M Q1 '24 actual $431M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $396M Q2 '24 actual $382M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $402M Q3 '24 actual $388M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $6B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $6B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish1458.3%
Neutral1041.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$38.14Previous close
$38Low
$47.81Average
$57High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Freedom Broker Hold BuyDowngradeOct 22, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 21, 2026
CIBC Neutral OutperformDowngradeOct 16, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 9, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $38.14. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$49$40.55 +28.5%Oct 16, 2026
BernsteinBob Brackett$56.5$44.1 +48.1%Sep 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$42$41.24 +10.1%Aug 13, 2026
ScotiabankTanya Jakusconek$55$41.09 +44.2%Aug 12, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$57$41 +49.4%Aug 12, 2026
See 34 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Barrick Mining Corporation primarily focuses on the entire lifecycle of mineral assets, from their initial discovery and subsequent development to their extraction and eventual sale. The company actively explores for a variety of commodities, including precious metals like gold and silver, industrial metals such as copper, and other materials used for energy production. Previously identified as Barrick Gold Corporation, the organization officially adopted its current name, Barrick Mining Corporation, in May 2025. The company was founded in 1983 and has its corporate headquarters situated in Toronto, Canada.

Historical context

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Basic Materials peers this season

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T05:50:43.312377+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T05:50:43.309751+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.