ATI Inc. · ATI · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
ATI raises EBITDA outlook as aerospace and defense demand strengthens
ATI's Q1 commentary supports a constructive near-term operating outlook: pricing and mix, aerospace and defense demand, and specialty-energy contracts are lifting margins and visibility. The key test is whether capacity additions and contract timing convert that demand into sustained earnings growth.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Management raised full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance by $35 million to $1.01 billion-$1.06 billion, while highlighting a record backlog and new long-term nuclear-materials agreements. The quarter also featured stronger margin performance, but revenue was below consensus and several expansion and contract-timing questions remain.
Guidance delta
Raised full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance by $35 million to a target range of $1.01 billion-$1.06 billion.
Key takeaways
- Management reported a 20% Q1 adjusted EBITDA margin, more than 300 basis points higher year over year.
- Backlog increased 10% sequentially to a record $4.1 billion, improving visibility into the second half.
- Demand support came from jet engines, defense missiles, naval nuclear work and specialty-energy applications.
- Nickel remelt and primary VIM capacity additions are intended to support future growth, with timing and execution still important.
Management priorities
- Execute nickel remelt and primary VIM capacity additions.
- Continue qualifying premium titanium for engine applications.
- Expand missile-related production capacity for anticipated long-term contracts.
- Maintain disciplined capital allocation, including share repurchases funded through cash flow.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTIG | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 30, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Northcoast Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 14, 2024 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 6, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Aug 5, 2022 |
| Berenberg | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 7, 2022 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Jul 7, 2021 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 5, 2020 |
| Longbow Research | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Oct 15, 2019 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Oct 10, 2019 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 25, 2019 |
| Buckingham | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 25, 2019 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Apr 12, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 25, 2018 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 16, 2017 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 1, 2015 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 1, 2015 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Apr 14, 2014 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 3, 2014 |
| Davenport | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 25, 2013 |
| Topeka Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 23, 2013 |
| Topeka | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 23, 2013 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 25, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $165.59. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KeyBanc | Samuel McKinney | $228 | $189.19 | +37.7% | Oct 8, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $258 | $230.08 | +55.8% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $262 | $232 | +58.2% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | David Strauss | $275 | $227.84 | +66.1% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $265 | $223.43 | +60.0% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $215 | $190.68 | +29.8% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $175 | $155.26 | +5.7% | May 4, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $180 | $155.46 | +8.7% | May 1, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $194 | $155.46 | +17.2% | May 1, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $185 | $161.07 | +11.7% | Apr 10, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $167 | $159.63 | +0.9% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $127.54 | -6.4% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $165 | $128.34 | -0.4% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $128.34 | -9.4% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $126.26 | -12.4% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Alembic Global | Analyst unavailable | $141 | $123.24 | -14.8% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $132 | $124.42 | -20.3% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $100.19 | -27.5% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $98 | $83.51 | -40.8% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $75.64 | -27.5% | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $115 | $87.83 | -30.6% | Jul 8, 2025 |
| BTIG | Andre Madrid | $105 | $79.93 | -36.6% | May 28, 2025 |
| BTIG | Andre Madrid | $90 | $67.38 | -45.6% | May 5, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Philip Gibbs | $55 | $50.41 | -66.8% | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $70 | $56.06 | -57.7% | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $84 | $65.59 | -49.3% | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $75 | $59.94 | -54.7% | Sep 5, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Philip Gibbs | $66 | $60.84 | -60.1% | May 28, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $70 | $50.07 | -57.7% | Apr 11, 2024 |
| Cowen & Co. | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $40.15 | -72.8% | Feb 6, 2023 |
| KeyBanc | Philip Gibbs | $34 | $25.48 | -79.5% | Jun 10, 2022 |
| KeyBanc | Philip Gibbs | $31 | $27.72 | -81.3% | Apr 5, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationGlobally, ATI Inc. stands as a premier manufacturer and supplier of specialized materials and complex components. The enterprise's operations are strategically divided into two primary divisions: High Performance Materials & Components (HPMC) and Advanced Alloys & Solutions (AA&S). The HPMC segment is responsible for creating a diverse range of advanced substances, including titanium and its numerous alloys, nickel- and cobalt-based alloys (such as superalloys), sophisticated powdered alloys, and other distinctive specialty materials. These are offered in elongated product forms like ingots, billets, bars, rods, wires, various structural shapes, rectangular sections, and seamless tubing.…
Historical context
All ATI earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GD General Dynamics Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +9.0% | +0.5% | General Dynamics raises outlook as orders and backlog surge |
| RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +5.9% | -6.8% | RBC Bearings: Strong Q2, capacity investment supports second half |
| CNI Canadian National Railway Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.4% | -0.3% | CN posts strong Q3, maintains EPS outlook and expands Mexico strategy |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.6% | -8.8% | nVent raises outlook as data-center demand and Maverick broaden growth |
| MTZ MasTec, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +0.3% | +0.8% | MasTec posts record Q3 as power and data-center demand accelerates |
| IR Ingersoll Rand Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +18.5% | +0.2% | Ingersoll Rand raises FY2026 outlook as orders accelerate |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
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- BTSGFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+14.2% EPS+11.1% move
- EXCFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+10.4% EPS+0.5% move
Missed on EPS
- GLPIFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-11.5% EPS-1.3% move
- LYBFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-1.2% EPS+5.0% move
- CCJFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-101.4% EPS-7.9% move
- VALEFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-24.6% EPS+1.9% move
- DLR-PLFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
- DLR-PKFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
Get the ATI recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T14:50:41.145449+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T14:50:41.142708+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.