Amphenol Corporation · APH · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Amphenol: AI datacom demand drives record Q4 execution

The supplied analysis supports a constructive, but not unconditional, view: resilient AI and high-speed IT datacom demand, record orders, and acquisition-led expansion support continued growth, while durability of demand, capex returns, connector yields, and regional softness are the key tests.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $195.67B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.50
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.05B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +7.0% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +6.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.9% Up to 20 sessions
APHSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis points to record Q4 sales and margin performance, a higher 1.16-to-1 book-to-bill ratio, more than $1 billion of annualized acquisition sales, and continued above-trend Q1 2025 growth expectations.

Guidance delta

Management's outlook remained maintained, with Q1 2025 sales guided to $4-$4.1 billion and EPS to $0.49-$0.51.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record Q4 2024 sales and adjusted operating margin, with AI-related IT datacom demand as the primary growth engine.
  • The analysis identifies record orders and a 1.16-to-1 book-to-bill ratio as evidence of strong demand.
  • Acquisitions added more than $1 billion of annualized sales, while the Andrew business remained pending for Q1 2025 close.
  • The setup is constructive but depends on AI demand durability, connector yields, capex discipline, and softer European markets.

Management priorities

  • Invest in AI-related IT datacom capacity and product development.
  • Integrate the Andrew business after its expected Q1 2025 close.
  • Expand high-speed interconnect and antenna offerings.
  • Pursue strategic acquisitions and broaden end-market exposure.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APH REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5B Q2 '25 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $6B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $6B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '26 actual $8B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $8B Q2 '26 actual $9B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $9B Q4 '26 estimate $9B Q1 '27 estimate $9B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1655.2%
Neutral1241.4%
Bearish13.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$79.35Current
$42.5Low
$120.14Average
$215High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 12, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 22, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $79.35. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSJoseph Spak$105$88.62 +32.3%Oct 7, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$116$87.27 +46.2%Oct 6, 2026
BernsteinVarun Govindaraj$99$82.84 +24.8%Sep 23, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$100$82.78 +26.0%Sep 8, 2026
UBSJoseph Spak$197$155.61 +148.3%Jul 30, 2026
See 49 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Amphenol Corporation, alongside its numerous subsidiaries, operates globally as a prominent designer, manufacturer, and distributor of electrical, electronic, and fiber optic connectors. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various international territories. The company is organized into three primary operational divisions: Harsh Environment Solutions, Communications Solutions, and Interconnect and Sensor Systems. Amphenol's comprehensive product lineup features an extensive array of connectors and integrated connector systems. These include specialized interconnects engineered for demanding conditions (covering data, power, high-speed, fiber optic, and radio frequency applications), in addition to busbars and complete power distribution systems. Beyond these core offerings, the company provides value-added products such as backplane interconnect systems, bespoke cable assemblies and harnesses, and cable management solutions.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-08T00:01:14.930234+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T21:50:42.412624+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T21:50:42.409898+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.