Amphenol Corporation · APH · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Amphenol: AI Datacom Demand Leads Record Orders and Sales

The latest call supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient AI datacom demand, record orders, operating leverage, and acquisitions broaden the growth opportunity, while sustainability of bookings and integration, capex, and seasonal risks remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $207.98B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.97 Consensus $0.93
EPS surprise +4.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.44B Consensus $6.19B
Revenue surprise +4.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -12.2% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -12.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.7% Up to 20 sessions
APHSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds a record 1.31 book-to-bill ratio, a broader acquisition contribution including CCS and Trexon, and stronger European automotive and industrial organic growth. Compared with the prior analysis, the focus shifted from pending acquisitions and margin expansion to integration, higher capex, and sustaining the current demand pace.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment remained maintained, with management pointing to continued high-double-digit revenue growth and EPS expansion; the current analysis also describes a Q1 2026 sales and EPS outlook.

Key takeaways

  • AI-linked IT datacom demand remained the primary growth catalyst, with record orders and a 1.31 book-to-bill ratio.
  • Acquisitions broadened fiber-optic, defense, and interconnect capabilities; CCS was expected to support first-quarter margins.
  • Strong cash generation supported capital returns while management continued investing in capacity and product development.

Management priorities

  • Use CCS capabilities to provide end-to-end fiber and copper solutions for AI data centers.
  • Accelerate high-speed and high-voltage interconnect development while expanding defense and industrial share.
  • Keep capex disciplined near the upper end of the 4% of revenue range and continue shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APH EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.37 Q1 '24 actual $0.40, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.41 Q2 '24 actual $0.44, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.45 Q3 '24 actual $0.50, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.67 Q2 '25 actual $0.81, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.79 Q3 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.93 Q4 '25 actual $0.97, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.94 Q1 '26 actual $1.06, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.18 Q2 '26 actual $1.35, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.71 Q4 '26 estimate $1.31 Q1 '27 estimate $0.69
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1655.2%
Neutral1241.4%
Bearish13.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$84.8Current
$42.5Low
$123.7Average
$215High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 22, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 9, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 8, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $84.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinVarun Govindaraj$99$82.84 +16.8%Sep 23, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$100$82.78 +17.9%Sep 8, 2026
UBSJoseph Spak$197$155.61 +132.3%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$200$159.06 +135.9%Jul 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$185$164.16 +118.2%Jul 9, 2026
See 47 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Amphenol Corporation, alongside its numerous subsidiaries, operates globally as a prominent designer, manufacturer, and distributor of electrical, electronic, and fiber optic connectors. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various international territories. The company is organized into three primary operational divisions: Harsh Environment Solutions, Communications Solutions, and Interconnect and Sensor Systems. Amphenol's comprehensive product lineup features an extensive array of connectors and integrated connector systems. These include specialized interconnects engineered for demanding conditions (covering data, power, high-speed, fiber optic, and radio frequency applications), in addition to busbars and complete power distribution systems. Beyond these core offerings, the company provides value-added products such as backplane interconnect systems, bespoke cable assemblies and harnesses, and cable management solutions.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T15:16:08.279644+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T15:16:08.276672+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.